Monday, November 10, 2008

11/10/2008 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: November 10, 2008

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Nov) EAST AR:  860 to 874
(NC) Summ. 874 to - - -
River Elevators:
(Nov) MISS: 850 to 906 ; AR & White 827 to 864
(NC) Summ. 913 to 948
Ark. Processor Bids: (Nov) 846 to 874  (NC) 928 to 930
Memphis:  (Nov) 883 to 908 (NC)  - - - to - - -
Riceland Foods:  (Nov) Stuttgart 874 ; Pendleton 874 ; West Memphis 885

Chicago Futures: Jan 09 up 27 at  948
  Mar 09  up  27 3/4  at  957 1/4
  May 09 up 27 3/4  at  967 1/4
  July 09 up 26 1/2  at  975
  Nov 09 up 26 3/4  at  974
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans ended solidly higher today. The supply/demand report didn’t really contain any surprises. USDA cut their yield estimate to 39.3 bushels per acre, compared with 39.5 bu/a in the October report. They cut the crush estimate and kept ending stocks at 205 million bushels. They did leave the export projection steady even though currently exports have been running about 15% ahead of last year’s pace. The market continues to trade in the dollar plus range with resistance around $9.60 and support just below $8.50.

Wheat
Cash bid for November at Memphis  308 to 390;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 370-445;
River Elevators 445-470;

Chicago Futures: Dec down  at  520 
  Mar 09 down 1 1/4  at  540 3/4 
  May 09 down  3/4  at  555 1/4 
  July 09 down  1/4  at  569 3/4 
  Sept 09 up  1 1/2  at  594 1/4 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for November at Memphis  417 to 431;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 337-417;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for November at Memphis   326 1/2 to 337 1/2;
  New crop at Memphis   371 to - - -;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  299 to 359

Chicago Futures: Dec up  at  383 1/2 
  Mar 09 up  at  401 1/2 
  May 09 up  8 1/4  at  413 3/4 
  Dec 09 up  at  450 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Corn posted gains as well. The trade was expecting a small bump in the yield estimate, instead, USDA made a slight decrease to 153.8 bushels per acre. They left their corn for ethanol usage estimate at 4 billion bushels, despite wide speculation that that would be trimmed. Exports were cut by 50 million bushels, leaving the carryout at 1.124 billion bushels. Wheat moved lower today thanks to the fact that USDA added 2.2 million metric tons to the world wheat crop estimate. That brings the world wheat production total to 682.4 million metric tons—a record breaker. December continues to hold support just above $5.



Cotton & Rice  Date: November 10, 2008


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis down 83 at  3774
  Greenwood down  83 at 3774

New York Futures: Dec down  83  at  4124 
  Mar 09 down  84  at  4476 
 May 09 down  86  at  4633 
 July 09 down  85  at  4790 
 Dec 09 down  87  at  5235 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  13.23 cents
  The estimate for next week is  14.54 cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton ended lower, unable to overcome the negative supply/demand report despite early gains. The report showed a small cut in world production, but a significant cut in consumption, resulting in a 3.5% increase in the ending stocks estimate to 57.40 million bales. Early gains were attributed to China’s announcement of an economic stimulus package for the worlds 4th largest economy and the world’s largest cotton importer. However, the market turned lower and by the end of the day, December broke through support at 42 cents, moving to the lowest price level seen in approximately 6 years.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  n/a - - -  to  - - -
  n/a - - -  to  - - -

Chicago Futures: Jan 09 down  10 1/2  at  1508 1/2 
 Mar 09 down  10 1/2  at  1537 1/2 
 May 09 down  8 1/2  at  1568 1/2 
 July 09 down  7 1/2  at  1599 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice continued to move lower. Today’s supply/demand report showed the expected cut in U.S. production, but a 1.05 million metric ton increase in world production. Beginning stocks were increased as well. The increased supply was partially offset by an increase in the usage estimate. Ending stocks were increased slightly to 80.61 million metric tons.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: November 10, 2008

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 2495 head at sales in Springdale and Ash Flat.  Compared with last week, feeder steers mostly firm to $3 higher .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 114 to - - -
  500 to 550 lbs. 101.50 to - - -
  600 to 650 lbs. 91 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 106.50 to - - -

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   500 to 550 lbs. 86.50 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 83.25 to - - -

Slaughter Cows, Boners 39   to   44
Light Weight 24 to 29
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   50   to   57.50
Midwest Steers   were $2 higher to $4 lower   at   89   to   94
Panhandle Steers   were $2 higher to $3 lower   at   90   to   94

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers 500 to 550 lbs. 108 to 116
  550 to 600 lbs. 103.25 to 112
Heifers 400 to 500 lbs. 94 to 102
  500 to 600 lbs. 88 to 94.50

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Dec down 15 at 9265
  Feb up 60 at 9415
Feeders: Jan down 35 at 9887
  May down 20 at 10050

Cattle Comment
Cattle futures ended mixed. Higher crude oil prices were supportive, but concerns about global demand for beef continue to weigh on this market.

Hogs
Peoria: were $1.50 to $2.50     lower   at   31.5   to   32

Chicago Futures: Dec down 40 at 5500
  Feb up 25 at 6275

Sheep
St. Paul n/a   at   - - -   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hogs were mostly higher. Crude oil futures played a part here, as did news of an economic stimulus package in China, which sparked renewed optimism for pork exports to that country.



Poultry  Date: November 10, 2008

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 124-128; Lg. 122-126; Med. 107-111;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 114-122; Lg. 112-120; Med. 99-107;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 87-96
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 87-95
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Trade sentiment was steady to about steady. Demand following the weekend was no better than fair with limited trading. Supplies were at least adequate to satisfy current trade needs. In production areas, live supplies were moderate at mostly desirable weights.

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