Monday, October 29, 2007

10/29/2007 Farm Bureau Market Report

Grain & Soybean Date: October 29, 2007

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Oct) EAST AR:  967 to 991
(NC) Summ. 973 to 997
River Elevators:
(Oct) MISS: 961 to 997 ; AR & White 973 to 986
(NC) Summ. 985 to 1025
Ark. Processor Bids: (Oct) 983 to 991  (NC) 997 to 1014
Memphis:  (Oct) 1000 to 1001 (NC)  n/a to - - -
Riceland Foods:  (Oct) Stuttgart 991 ; Pendleton 997 ; West Memphis 997

Chicago Futures: Nov up 15 1/2 at  1011
  Jan  up  15 1/2  at  1028 3/4
  Mar up 16  at  1043 1/2
  Jul up 18 1/2  at  1053
  Nov '08 up 9 1/4  at  980 1/4
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans ended the day’s session just short of the contract high and appears on its way to new levels. The April ’04 high of $10.64 is the next major chart point that beans have in sight. A big jump in crude oil contributed to gains in soy oil and provided the basis for another strong close. This is all part of the battle for ’08 acreage – soybeans or corn. Be aware that the market may top at any time.

Wheat
Cash bid for October at Memphis  805 1/2 to 834 1/2;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 596-611;
River Elevators 603-617;

Chicago Futures: Dec up  28 1/2  at  828 1/2 
  Mar up 26  at  848 
  May up  23 1/2  at  808 
  Jul '08 up  14 1/4  at  691 1/4 
  Jul '09 up  16  at  689 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for October at Memphis  720 to 723;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 645-707;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for October at Memphis   394 to 396;
  new crop at Memphis   391 3/4 to - - -;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  376 to 386

Chicago Futures: Dec up  at  376 
  Mar up  4 1/4  at  393 
  May up  3 3/4  at  402 3/4 
  Dec '08 up  2 3/4  at  422 1/2 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat futures gapped higher today, posting gains of more than 20 cents. Weakness in the dollar and increases in crude oil prices were supportive. News of demand from Iraq, Morocco, and India was also supportive. New crop July could challenge resistance at the contract high of $6.97, but old crop December is trending lower with resistance near $8.50.



Cotton & Rice  Date: October 29, 2007


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis up 14 at  6177
  Greenwood up  14 at 6177

New York Futures: Dec up  14  at  6477 
  Mar up  at  6920 
 May down  21  at  7070 
 Jul down  26  at  7205 
 Dec '08 up  12  at  7585 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  0 cents
  The estimate for next week is  0 cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton traded in a narrow range with December again holding under 65 cents. Overall the market was mixed and shows the attitude of the trade with respect of ’07 and ’08. Ample supplies of ’07 cotton should keep a cap on the market at least for the near term. It will take renewed export interest, make that buying by China, to stimulate the market and move values to the next level. On the other hand, ’08 cotton might still get caught up in the bidding war for acreage. It looks like acreage could be cut another 10 percent if price doesn’t increase to the upper 70’s or lower 80’s for December ’08 futures.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  Nov/Dec 1048  to  1111/cwt
  - - - - - -  to  - - -

Chicago Futures: Nov down  6 1/2  at  1158 1/2 
 Jan down  at  1195 
 Mar down  at  1225 
 May down  at  1246 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice continued in a consolidation pattern and actually ended the day lower. The rice trade seemed to pay little attention to the situation in beans and grain where futures are moving higher on a daily basis. At this point it appears there is not any concern about ’08 rice plantings. However, acreage could move to beans or even corn; some may have been planted in wheat or will be when it dries up. Rice is undervalued relative to wheat and world stocks continue to tighten. Looks like there is still upside potential in the making! Current resistance for Jan ’08 futures is the contract high of $12.11.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: October 29, 2007

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 3,311 head at sales in Ash Flat & Springdale.  Compared with last week, feeder steers sold steady to $2 lower, heifers weak to $4 lower .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 119 to 129
  500 to 550 lbs. 106 to 116
  600 to 700 lbs. 90.50 to 95
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 106 to 116

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 98 to 108
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 95 to 105

Slaughter Cows, Boners 43   to   47.50
Light Weight 30 to 38
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   52   to   57, high dressing 57.50-61.50
Midwest Steers   were $2-$.50 lower   at   90   to   93.50
Panhandle Steers   were $3-$.50 higher   at   89   to   93.50

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
  n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
Heifers n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
  n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Dec up 22 at 9535
  Feb up 35 at 9767
Feeders: Nov up 25 at 10930
  Jan up 65 at 11885

Cattle Comment
Cattle futures ended higher on indications the market is oversold. Tightening supplies of fed cattle are supportive, but beef is struggling to compete with cheaper pork and poultry. December futures have support around $94.

Hogs
Peoria: were     steady   at   33.5   to   34

Chicago Futures: Dec down 5 at 5447
  Feb down 27 at 6120

Sheep
St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs   at   n/a   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hogs were mixed as the market attempts to correct an oversold situation. Seasonally larger supplies are expected in the near term and as cash prices fall, so will futures. Friday’s contract low of $54.15 is support for December.



Poultry  Date: October 29, 2007

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 112-116; Lg. 110-114; Med. 99-103;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 102-110; Lg. 100-108; Med. 91-99;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 95-98
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 95-98
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Trade sentiment was mostly steady. Supplies of all sizes were usually sufficient to satisfy trade needs. In production areas, live supplies were moderate at mostly desirable weights.

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