Thursday, October 25, 2007

10/25/2007 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: October 25, 2007

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Oct) EAST AR:  946 to 970
(NC) Summ. 952 to 976
River Elevators:
(Oct) MISS: 945 to 976 ; AR & White 952 to 971
(NC) Summ. 964 to 1006
Ark. Processor Bids: (Oct) 957 to 970  (NC) 976 to 998
Memphis:  (Oct) 977 3/4 to 978 3/4 (NC)  - - - to - - -
Riceland Foods:  (Oct) Stuttgart 970 ; Pendleton 970 ; West Memphis 976

Chicago Futures: Nov up 18 1/2 at  994 3/4
  Jan  up  18 3/4  at  1012 1/2
  March up 18 3/4  at  1026 3/4
  July up 19  at  1036
  Nov '08 up 13 1/2  at  967 1/2
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans were sharply higher, buoyed by strength in soy oil. Big gains in crude oil have rekindled thinking about biodiesel and other renewable fuels. November futures are again testing resistance at the top of the consolidation area that has developed over the last 3 weeks. A close above $9.96 will likely bring another test of resistance at the $10.17 ½ contract high.

Wheat
Cash bid for October at Memphis  780 to 787;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 568-583;
River Elevators 575-588;

Chicago Futures: Dec down  at  802 
  March down 10 1/4  at  821 1/4 
  May down  8 3/4  at  780 1/2 
  July '08 up  4 3/4  at  662 1/2 
  July '09 up  11  at  664 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for October at Memphis  693 to 699;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 614-677;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for October at Memphis   382 1/4 to 386 1/4;
  New crop at Memphis   383 to - - -;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  366 to 376

Chicago Futures: Dec up  9 3/4  at  366 1/4 
  March up  9 1/2  at  383 
  May up  at  392 1/2 
  Dec '08 up  10 3/4  at  415 1/4 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Old crop wheat posted losses again today, but new crop contracts were supported by carryover strength from soybeans. Export sales of 20.4 million bushels for the week provided some support. The trend is now lower for all wheat contracts. New crop July has support beginning at $6.55.



Cotton & Rice  Date: October 25, 2007


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis up 57 at  6089
  Greenwood up  57 at 6089

New York Futures: Dec up  57  at  6439 
  March up  72  at  6888 
 May up  72  at  7038 
 July up  69  at  7175 
 Dec '08 up  60  at  7525 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  0 cents
  The estimate for next week is  0 cents
Cotton Comment
December cotton recouped a portion of yesterday’s decline but remains in a sideway trend. A larger Chinese crop and an upward adjustment in their stocks suggest a more difficult market situation near term. While USDA left Chinese import needs at 15 million bales they have more wiggle room and a greater opportunity to delay purchases. Upside for old crop seems limited until well into the new year, however, the need to buy acreage back for cotton should stimulate ’08 futures which could pull old crop with it, but at a much slower pace. There is already an almost 1100 point spread between the two crops. For now, look for old crop to move in the 60-65 cent range.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  Oct/Nov 1042  to  1050/cwt
  Dec 1042  to  1050/cwt

Chicago Futures: Nov up  at  1160 
 Jan up  at  1194 
 March up  at  1226 
 May up  at  1245 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice was a little higher for the day, but remained in a 40 cent trading range that has contained movement for the last five weeks. Strong export demand for U.S. rough rice and increased milled sales are keeping the market undertone firm. On the world level, Thailand remains the only major supplier with both Vietnam and India having banned further export sales at this time. Freight rates are a key component of sales as reports indicate costs have tripled in the last year. Supplies will increase as the Thai harvest nears and Vietnam’s major harvest will come in February. Overall supplies will remain tight. November futures have resistance at the $11.78 contract high with support at $11.40.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: October 25, 2007

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 2334 head at sales in Charlotte, Green Forest & Ola.  Compared with last week, feeder steers sold $2 to $5 lower, heifers $3 to $6 lower .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 113 to 123
  500 to 550 lbs. 104 to 114
  600 to 700 lbs. 99 to 109
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 112.5 to 120

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   500 to 550 lbs. 92 to 102
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 95 to 105

Slaughter Cows, Boners 44   to   48
Light Weight 32 to 39
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   54   to   58.50
Midwest Steers   were steady   at   90   to   91
Panhandle Steers   were steady   at   90   to   91

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers 450 to 500 lbs. 117 to 123
  550 to 600 lbs. 111.50 to 122.50
Heifers 500 to 550 lbs. 105 to 109
  550 to 600 lbs. 108.50 to - - -

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Dec up 37 at 9625
  Feb up 37 at 9805
Feeders: Nov down 5 at 11045
  Jan down 27 at 10977

Cattle Comment
Cattle futures were mixed. Signs of a weakening economy are negative for cattle futures because Americans will have less to spend on food. Strength in corn futures weighed on feeders. December futures are headed toward a retest of support at the recent low of $95.55.

Hogs
Peoria: were     steady   at   33.5   to   34

Chicago Futures: Dec down 75 at 5460
  Feb down 70 at 6165

Sheep
St. Paul n/a   at   - - -   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hogs were again lower. Seasonally larger supplies are expected in the near term and as cash prices fall, so will futures. December looks to be headed for a retest of the contract low of $54.50.



Poultry  Date: October 25, 2007

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 112-116; Lg. 110-114; Med. 99-103;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 101-109; Lg. 99-107; Med. 90-98;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 94-98
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 94-98
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Movement of ready to cook whole birds was light to moderate. Offerings were at least sufficient for current trade needs. Live supplies were moderate; weights were mostly desirable. Processing schedules ranged from moderate to moderately heavy. Less than trucklot asking prices remained unchanged at 69 to 83 cents. Trade sentiment was mostly steady.

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