Friday, August 22, 2008

08/22/2008 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: August 22, 2008

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Aug) EAST AR:  n/a to - - -
(NC) Summ. 1219 to 1261
River Elevators:
(Aug) MISS: 1267 to 1292 ; AR & White 1250 to 1263
(NC) Summ. 1220 to 1278
Ark. Processor Bids: (Aug) n/a to - - -  (NC) 1249 to 1257
Memphis:  (Aug) 1283 to 1287 (NC)  1277 to - - -
Riceland Foods:  (Aug) Stuttgart 1257 ; Pendleton 1261 ; West Memphis 1278

Chicago Futures: Sep down 20 at  1321
  Nov  down  21  at  1327
  Jan '09 down 20 3/4  at  1344 1/2
  Mar '09 down 20 3/4  at  1358 1/4
  Nov '09 down 11  at  1326
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans and corn posted big losses on speculative profit taking to end the week. Further losses in crude oil and the improving value of the dollar both added pressure as well. Both could likely chop along sideways until the September crop report. Soybeans need to see a large crop to help replenish supplies. The Iowa corn tour is reporting an estimated 168.2 bushels/acre average yield, well above the three year average of 162.6 bushels. The lateness of the crop, however, leaves open the possibility that an early freeze could impact yield potential.

Wheat
Cash bid for August at Memphis  660 1/2 to 679 1/2;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 633;
River Elevators 609-666;

Chicago Futures: Sep down  31 3/4  at  865 1/2 
  Dec down 31 3/4  at  890 1/2 
  Mar '09 down  31 3/4  at  915 
  May '09 down  32  at  929 1/4 
  Jul '09 down  31  at  935 3/4 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for August at Memphis  931 to 940;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 807-923;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for August at Memphis   566 1/2 to 572 1/2;
  new crop at Memphis   n/a to - - -;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  532 to 558

Chicago Futures: Sep down  11 1/4  at  586 1/2 
  Dec down  11  at  606 1/2 
  Mar '09 down  11 1/4  at  625 3/4 
  Dec '09 down  at  637 1/2 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat was under the most pressure of the grains. Both December, with a close below $9, and July, with a close below $9.57, fell through trendline support. Canada says their crop will top 25.4 million metric tons. Slowing export demand for soft red winter wheat is also a factor in Chicago.



Cotton & Rice  Date: August 22, 2008


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis up 11 at  6267
  Greenwood up  11 at 6267

New York Futures: Oct up  at  6759 
  Dec down  at  6983 
 Mar '09 down  13  at  7463 
 May '09 down  86  at  7583 
 Jul '09 up  11  at  7840 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  0 cents
  The estimate for next week is  0 cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton was lower today following the grains. December needs to close above 70 cents in order to suggest further gains are possible. Resistance above that is at 71 cents and then perhaps 75 cents. Recent weather is a concern and could be causing yield problems in the mid-South. Cool, damp, cloudy situations have been prevalent for the last several weeks and are causing heavy shedding and slow development.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  n/a - - -  to  - - -
  n/a - - -  to  - - -

Chicago Futures: Sep down  at  1800 
 Nov down  at  1825 
 Jan '09 down  at  1853 
 Mar '09 down  at  1881 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice posted losses, but they didn’t appear to affect the technical situation. The market has charted a technical island reversal low. That is the market gapped lower at approximately the same level 4 weeks ago, moved in a dollar sideways pattern, then gapped higher today. This is typically a bottoming or topping feature, which in this case, is a bottom. The next upside objectives are $18.51 and $19.22. Recent weather is drawing concerns as the crop nears maturity and harvest is just days away. International trading remains quiet with shipment against early sales continuing.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: August 22, 2008

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were n/a head at sales in n/a.  Compared with last week, feeder steers .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame n/a   - - - to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
  - - - to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
  - - - to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame n/a   - - - to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame n/a   - - - to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame n/a   - - - to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -

Slaughter Cows, Boners n/a   to   - - -
Light Weight to - - -
Bulls, Yield Grade   n/a   - - -   to   - - - lbs.   - - -   to   - - -
Midwest Steers   n/a   at   - - -   to   - - -
Panhandle Steers   n/a   at   - - -   to   - - -

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers 500 to 550 lbs. 110.60 to 124
  600 to 650 lbs. 109 to 119.75
Heifers 500 to 550 lbs. 100 to 114
  600 to 650 lbs. 100.50 to 112.50

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Oct down 52 at 10577
  Dec down 55 at 10690
Feeders: Oct down 2 at 11250
  Nov up 5 at 11230

Cattle Comment
Cattle futures were under pressure from weaker grains and crude oil, and pre-report position evening ahead of this afternoon’s Cattle on Feed report. Reduced packer demand ahead of the Labor Day holiday also affected prices.

Hogs
Peoria: were     steady   at   57   to   58

Chicago Futures: Oct down 102 at 7375
  Dec down 22 at 7410

Sheep
St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs   at   n/a   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hogs were also lower. Packers have picked up most of their near term needs and are showing less interest as we approach the Labor Day holiday. Lower wholesale values are also a negative.



Poultry  Date: August 22, 2008

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 127-131; Lg. 125-129; Med. 89-93;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 108-116; Lg. 106-114; Med. 70-78;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 96-99
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 96-99
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Trade sentiment was cautiously steady. Demand entering the weekend as light to fair with limited trading. Supplies of all sizes were fully sufficient to satisfy trade needs. In production areas, live supplies were moderate at mostly desirable weights.

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