Wednesday, June 27, 2007

06/27/2007 Farm Bureau Daily Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: June 27, 2007

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Jun) EAST AR:  746 to 773
(NC) Summ. 768 to 790
River Elevators:
(Jun) MISS: 764 to 777 ; AR & White 754 to 774
(NC) Summ. 766 to 790
Ark. Processor Bids: (Jun) 765 to - - -  (NC) 789 to 790
Memphis:  (Jun) 777 1/2 to 779 1/2 (NC)  784 1/2 to 786 1/2
Riceland Foods:  (NC) Stuttgart 765 ; Pendleton 773 ; West Memphis 773

Chicago Futures: Jul down 3 1/2 at  803 1/2
  Aug  down  3 1/2  at  811 3/4
  Nov down 4 1/2  at  837 1/2
  Jan down 4 3/4  at  848 1/4
  Nov '08 down 1 3/4  at  870
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans ended the session a little lower after making a big dip at midday. Average estimates suggest plantings will be about 700,000 acres above March intentions. At the same time forecasts of higher temperatures have moderated, and this pushed soybeans and corn lower. With a lot of crop development time left, it is a little early to lock in an anticipated yield. There is still time for the crop to go either way. For now November beans have support at $8.20 and resistance around $8.65.

Wheat
Cash bid for June at Memphis  561 to 563;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 529-538;
River Elevators 525-552;

Chicago Futures: Jul down  2 1/2  at  606 
  Sep down 4 1/2  at  621 1/2 
  Dec down  5 1/2  at  628 1/2 
  Jul '08 down  9 1/2  at  563 
  Jul '09 down  at  560 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for new crop at Memphis  596 to - - -;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 521-586;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for June at Memphis   352 3/4 to 353 3/4;
  new crop at Memphis   317 3/4 to 318 3/4;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  339 to 352

Chicago Futures: Jul down  12 3/4  at  343 3/4 
  Sep down  13 1/4  at  353 3/4 
  Dec '07 down  13  at  362 3/4 
  Dec '08 down  9 3/4  at  391 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
July wheat set a new contract high today before retracing gains and closing lower. Early strength came from a 55,000 ton purchase of soft red winter by Egypt. Heavy rains that will cause harvest delays in Texas were also supportive. However, chart action late in the day looks bearish. Corn futures appear to have topped after posting sharp losses today. Support for December begins at $3.56.



Cotton & Rice  Date: June 27, 2007


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis up 14 at  5480
  Greenwood up  14 at 5480

New York Futures: Jul up  85  at  5685 
  Oct up  14  at  5980 
 Dec up  24  at  6169 
 Mar up  45  at  6440 
 Dec '08 up  13  at  6848 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  3.03 cents
  The estimate for next week is  .63 cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton pushed to a new recent high with December hitting 62.25 before selling off. The ability to hold above previous resistance at 60.7 cents is a positive, which suggests the possibility of further gains, perhaps to the contract high of 63.8 cents. The sharp upward move of just over 10 cents has all but removed LDP possibilities, with the adjusted world price approaching the 52 cents loan. Fundamentals supporting the upturn include big potential export sales to China, a smaller planted acreage in ’07 and sharply reduced U.S. production. Drought conditions in parts of the South have contributed to that.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  Aug/Sep 1044/cwt  to  - - -
  - - - - - -  to  - - -

Chicago Futures: Jul down  at  1052 
 Sep down  at  1088 
 Nov down  at  1119 
 Jan down  at  1145 
 - - - down  - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
November rice again lost ground early, then retraced most of the decline by the end of the session. Friday’s acreage report should show slightly smaller plantings than indicated in March. Overall acreage was projected 7% lower, while Arkansas was down 13%. This was the second year in a row that acreage declined. At the same time world stocks are lower for the sixth consecutive year. The two factors combined suggest tightening supplies and potential for higher prices. Higher freight rates are a negative as the U.S. needs to compete for additional export markets. Futures continue to trade within a broad range, just under a dollar, that has contained the market for most of the calendar year.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: June 27, 2007

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 1,434 head at sales in Conway & Pocahontas.  Compared with last week, feeder steers sold $3-$6 lower .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 110 to 117.50
  500 to 550 lbs. 103 to 113
  600 to 700 lbs. 95 to 104
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 500 lbs. 99 to 109

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 95 to 105
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 90 to 98

Slaughter Cows, Boners 46   to   50
Light Weight 31 to 36
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   60   to   65.50, high dressing 67.50-70
Midwest Steers   were $1 higher to steady   at   84   to   - - -
Panhandle Steers   were steady   at   84   to   - - -

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers 500 to 550 lbs. 120 to 131
  600 to 650 lbs. 108.50 to 115.50
Heifers 500 to 550 lbs. 110 to 119
  600 to 650 lbs. 104.50 to 107

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Aug up 62 at 8925
  Dec up 32 at 9462
Feeders: Aug up 92 at 10857
  Oct up 70 at 10910

Cattle Comment
Cattle futures were mostly higher on profit taking after yesterday’s losses. The cash market is quiet so far this week, giving futures little direction. Beef prices remain weak, and packers are unwilling to raise bids to bring cattle to market.

Hogs
Peoria: were $.5     lower   at   48   to   48.5

Chicago Futures: Aug up 32 at 7165
  Oct down 30 at 6462

Sheep
St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs   at   n/a   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hog futures were lower again today. Deferred contracts are under pressure from expectations for the quarterly inventory report to show expansion in the hog herd. August could retest support near $70.



Poultry  Date: June 27, 2007

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 102-106; Lg. 100-104; Med. 70-74;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 82-90; Lg. 80-88; Med. 55-63;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 84-85
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 84-85
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Trade sentiment was steady to about steady in the West, steady to barely steady in the East, and steady in the Midwest. Supplies of all sizes were usually sufficient to handle trade needs. In production areas, live supplies were moderate at weights in a full range.

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