Monday, June 29, 2009

06/29/2009 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: June 29, 2009

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Jun) EAST AR:  1196 to 1209
(NC) Summ. 942 to 952
River Elevators:
(Jun) MISS: 1215 to 1231 ; AR & White 1186 to 1201
(NC) Summ. 941 to 975
Ark. Processor Bids: (Jun) 1211 to - - -  (NC) 949 to 952
Memphis:  (Jun) 1222 to 1235 (NC)  980 1/2 to 983 1/2
Riceland Foods:  (Jun) Stuttgart 1211 ; Pendleton 1209 ; West Memphis 1231

Chicago Futures: Jul down 14 at  1215
  Sep  down  10  at  1036
  Nov down 7 1/2  at  983 1/2
  Jan down 5 1/2  at  986 1/2
  Mar '10 down at  979 1/2
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans were widely mixed with only expiring July closing higher. That reflects the expectations for tomorrow’s reports – tight ending stocks and prospects for an increasing crop in ’09. Early expectations show an average soybean plantings of 78.3 million acres, up from March plantings of 76.0 million acres. On the other hand quarterly stocks are expected to be 586 million bushels, down 90 million bushels from a year ago. All in all the market broke from recent trends – oil higher, and dollar lower – has meant stronger beans. So we may be back to trading fundamentals.

Corn was lower as prospects of a big carryover seems to be overriding expectations for smaller ’09 plantings. The trade’s guess range from 82.6 to 86.0 million acres, with the average at 84.2 million acres. December fell below $4 after breaking trendline support last week. The next straight forward support is $3.75 to $3.50.

Wheat
Cash bid for June at Memphis  458 1/2 to 467 3/4;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 417-453;
River Elevators 397-469;

Chicago Futures: Jul down  5 3/4  at  528 1/2 
  Sep down 5 1/4  at  557 3/4 
  Dec down  4 1/4  at  583 
  Mar '10 down  3 3/4  at  600 
  May '10 down  at  611 3/4 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for June at Memphis  568 to - - -;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 611;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for June at Memphis   374 1/2 to 377;
  new crop at Memphis   364 1/2 to 367 1/2;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  343 to 368

Chicago Futures: Jul down  7 1/4  at  377 
  Sep down  7 1/4  at  384 1/2 
  Dec down  at  397 1/4 
  Mar '10 down  6 1/2  at  409 1/2 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat turned lower. Good harvest progress was made over the weekend, but that added pressure to the already weak futures market. Spillover weakness from corn and beans was also a factor. July looks headed for a retest of support at $5.13.



Cotton & Rice  Date: June 29, 2009


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis up 11 at  4975
  Greenwood up  11 at 4975

New York Futures: Jul up  32  at  5286 
  Oct up  11  at  5500 
 Dec up  13  at  5697 
 Mar '10 up  at  5941 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  8.96 cents
  The estimate for next week is  8.19 cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton was mixed with closing values slightly higher to slightly lower. Big world stocks and weak economic conditions continue to weigh on the market near term. Prospects of a significantly smaller ’09 U.S. crop suggests a tightening of available stocks in the future. The U.S. crop has been plagued by drought conditions in Texas and rain is expected to translate into abandoned acres in Texas and potential yield loss somewhere. Long term cotton price will increase, testing support at the recent high of 63.75 cents along the way.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  Jul 1184/cwt  to  - - -
  n/a - - -  to  - - -

Chicago Futures: Jul down  18 1/2  at  1194 1/2 
 Sep down  12  at  1211 
 Nov down  11 1/2  at  1220 
 Jan '10 down  12  at  1240 
 - - -   - - -  at  - -- - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice fell to the bottom of the recent trading range ahead of tomorrow’s reports. There is little fresh news to give the market and U.S. milled exports remain slow. The ’09 U.S. crop could be little changed from a year ago as late plantings may have reduced potential yield. September futures are again testing support around $12.10. Below that support ranges from $11.85 to the recent low at $11.40.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: June 29, 2009

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 2,213 head at sales in Ash Flat, Spingdale & Ola.  Compared with last week, feeder steers $3-4 lower. Feeder heifers $1-2 lower .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 105.50 to - - -
  500 to 550 lbs. 100.25 to - - -
  600 to 650 lbs. 96.50 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 96 to - - -

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 91.50 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 86 to - - -

Slaughter Cows, Boners 46   to   53.50
Light Weight 34 to 41
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   55   to   64, high dressing 64.50-66.50
Midwest Steers   were $1 lower to $1 higher   at   80   to   82
Panhandle Steers   were $.50 lower to $1 higher   at   80.50   to   82

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers 500 to 550 lbs. 106 to 113
  600 to 630 lbs. 104.60 to 106.75
Heifers 500 to 550 lbs. 97 to 103.75
  n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Aug up 300 at 8540
  Oct up 227 at 9040
Feeders: Aug up 275 at 10172
  Sep up 272 at 10170

Cattle Comment
Cattle futures gapped higher today on expectations for smaller supplies this summer. August gained momentum after breaking through resistance at $84.50 and trading to its highest level in two months.

Hogs
Peoria: were     steady   at   33.50   to   35.50

Chicago Futures: Aug up 92 at 5862
  Oct up 32 at 5510

Sheep
St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs   at   n/a   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hogs ended higher. The inventory report was neutral, with the total inventory coming in at 97.3% of the year ago total. That was right on the average trade guess. August set a new contract low before ending the day higher. That low of $57.40 now becomes support.



Poultry  Date: June 29, 2009

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 69-73; Lg. 67-71; Med. 58-62;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 60-68; Lg. 58-66; Med. 49-57;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 82-84
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 82-84
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Trade sentiment was steady to at least steady. Demand following the weekend was fair to moderate, instances fairly good, best where holiday weekend needs increased. Supplies of all sizes were adequate to satisfy current trade needs. In productions areas, live supplies were moderate at desirable to lighter weights.

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