Monday, June 22, 2009

06/22/2009 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: June 22, 2009

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Jun) EAST AR:  1133 to 1146
(NC) Summ. 9935 to 949
River Elevators:
(Jun) MISS: 1152 to 1168 ; AR & White 1132 to 1147
(NC) Summ. 935 to 971
Ark. Processor Bids: (Jun) 1148 to - - -  (NC) 945 to 946
Memphis:  (Jun) 1168 1/2 to 1182 1/2 (NC)  976 to 978
Riceland Foods:  (Jun) Stuttgart 1148 ; Pendleton 1149 ; West Memphis 1136

Chicago Futures: Jul down 27 1/2 at  1151 1/2
  Sep  down  27 1/2  at  1023
  Nov down 25  at  981
  Jan '10 down 24 1/2  at  988 1/2
  Mar '10 down 25 1/4  at  985 1/4
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans gapped below major trendline support to confirm a top in the market. While the market retraced a portion of its losses it still remained negative from a technical standpoint. The next downside objective for November is $9.34, then $8.99. Today’s bearish move was helped by outside markets which were all going the wrong way – oil and equities lower and the dollar stronger.

Corn followed the same pattern as soybeans and closed below long term uptrend support. Good crop development and weather added to the negative undertone. December traded to $4 before making a small bounce. Support is layered at $3.90, $3.75, and then $3.50. USDA will release planted acreage numbers next week, but it now appears it will take some major weather situations to move the market substantially higher.

Wheat
Cash bid for June at Memphis  491 to 495;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 434-466;
River Elevators 415-486;

Chicago Futures: Jul down  9 1/4  at  546 
  Sep down 9 1/2  at  575 
  Dec down  9 1/4  at  601 1/2 
  Mar '10 down  8 3/4  at  618 1/2 
  May '10 down  at  630 1/4 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for June at Memphis  590 to - - -;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 508-589;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for June at Memphis   376 1/4 to 377 1/4;
  new crop at Memphis   368 1/2 to 373 1/2;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  349 to 374

Chicago Futures: Jul down  14  at  385 1/4 
  Sep down  13 3/4  at  393 1/2 
  Dec down  14  at  405 1/2 
  Mar '10 down  14  at  417 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat posted losses, but not as great as those charted by soybeans and corn. Huge world stocks and a competitive export situation remain the focus, but have been for a few weeks now. July is now testing support at $5.44, and has additional support at $5.13.



Cotton & Rice  Date: June 22, 2009


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis down 84 at  4816
  Greenwood down  84 at 4816

New York Futures: Jul up  389  at  5545 
  Oct up  473  at  5898 
 Dec down  188  at  5450 
 Mar '09 down  375  at  5525 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  7.95 cents
  The estimate for next week is  8.34 cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton continued last week’s downturn with December hitting the 50% retracement objective before making a slight upward correction. The next downside objective is 52.9 cents. There is little fresh news to give the market direction. Continued economic weakness points to a difficult recovery for cotton. With other outside markets, workers against cotton – lower crude oil stronger $. Potential appears limited near term. That could change as this crop develops, especially if production drops significantly.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  Jul 1216/cwt  to  - - -
  n/a - - -  to  - - -

Chicago Futures: Jul down  15  at  1215 
 Sep down  22  at  1217 
 Nov down  24  at  1221 
 Jan '10 down  21 1/2  at  1243 1/2 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice continued to worker lower, a move that was briefly interrupted with a rebound last Thursday. Today’s move carried below initial support at $12.20 leaving the next support at $11.80, then $11.40. A slow start to the U.S. crop is well known, although the actual acreage is still a question. On the international side Thailand seems to have “back burnered” old crop intervention sales and is busy pouring new crop rice. Vietnam also may initiate an intervention program. This may help strengthen the market in the short term, but will have to be dealt with at some point.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: June 22, 2009

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 1,667 head at sales in Ash Flat & Springdale.  Compared with last week, feeder steers sold steady to $2 higher .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 108 to - - -
  500 to 550 lbs. 101.50 to - - -
  600 to 650 lbs. 92 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 103.50 to - - -

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 98 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 93 to - - -

Slaughter Cows, Boners 42.50   to   49
Light Weight 34 to 36
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   55   to   61, high dressing 62.50-66.50
Midwest Steers   were $1-3 higher   at   80   to   82
Panhandle Steers   were $1-3 higher   at   80   to   82

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
  n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
Heifers n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
  n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Aug up 72 at 8285
  Oct up 77 at 8852
Feeders: Aug up 82 at 9892
  Sep up 62 at 9887

Cattle Comment
Cattle futures got a bounce today from the monthly Cattle on Feed report. Placements were down 14%. That was tempered somewhat by the fact that marketings were down 8%.

Hogs
Peoria: were     steady   at   31.50   to   33.50

Chicago Futures: Aug down 95 at 6085
  Oct down 107 at 5687

Sheep
St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs   at   n/a   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hogs ended lower on strength in the dollar. Traders are also establishing positions ahead of the monthly cold storage report, which is expected to show a big jump in stocks due to decreased exports related to H1N1 flu.



Poultry  Date: June 22, 2009

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 69-73; Lg. 67-71; Med. 58-62;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 60-68; Lg. 58-66; Med. 49-57;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 82-84
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 82-84
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Trade sentiment was mostly steady. Demand following the weekend was fair at best with optimism for next week’s first of the month and holiday business. Supplies of all sizes were sufficient to satisfy current trade needs. In productions areas, live supplies were moderate at desirable to lighter weights.

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