Thursday, October 2, 2008

10/02/2008 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: October 02, 2008

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Oct) EAST AR:  914 to 943
(NC) Summ. 920 to - - -
River Elevators:
(Oct) MISS: 904 to 964 ; AR & White 923 to 943
(NC) Summ. 954 to 999
Ark. Processor Bids: (Oct) 938 to 943  (NC) 979 to 981
Memphis:  (Oct) 959 to - - - (NC)  n/a to - - -
Riceland Foods:  (Oct) Stuttgart 943 ; Pendleton 943 ; West Memphis 964

Chicago Futures: Nov down 49 at  1004
  Jan '09  down  49 3/4  at  1020 3/4
  Mar '09 down 50 1/4  at  1035 3/4
  May '09 down 50  at  1047
  Nov '09 down 33 1/4  at  1045
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans have plummeted lower in today’s trade. The fundamentals haven’t changed much, but continued losses on Wall Street and in crude oil have forced the index funds out of the agriculture markets as well. Big losses have mounted as they have liquidated huge long positions. The weekly export report wasn’t particularly good for soybeans, coming in at an uninspiring 17.3 million bushels.

Corn was also sharply lower, despite growing confidence that Congress will pass some sort of bailout bill. However, sharp losses on Wall Street and overall economic concerns continue to carryover into ag commodities.

Wheat
Cash bid for October at Memphis  411 to 431;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 434-519;
River Elevators 519-534;

Chicago Futures: Dec down  33 3/4  at  636 
  Mar '09 down 34  at  657 3/4 
  May '09 down  34 1/2  at  671 3/4 
  Jul '09 down  35 1/2  at  684 1/2 
  Sep '09 down  31 1/2  at  704 1/2 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for October at Memphis  588 to 596;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators n/a;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for October at Memphis   409 to - - -;
  new crop at Memphis   438 to 443;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  397 to - - -

Chicago Futures: Dec down  30  at  454 
  Mar '09 down  30  at  473 
  May '09 down  30  at  485 
  Dec '09 down  27 1/2  at  509 1/2 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat futures were also sharply lower. Wheat does, however, have some bearish fundamentals to deal with. Statistics Canada said today that the crop in that country will be 27.27 million metric tons, up from their July estimate of 25.43 million.



Cotton & Rice  Date: October 02, 2008


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis up 10 at  5319
  Greenwood up  10 at 5319

New York Futures: Oct down  34  at  5625 
  Dec up  at  5840 
 Mar '09 up  at  6282 
 May '09 up  at  6475 
 Jul '09 down  at  6670 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  0 cents
  The estimate for next week is  0 cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton futures held their ground today, which is certainly more than we can say for most other commodities. December is trading back above 57 cents. This week’s spike low to 55.11 cents will provide support. This market continues to be weighed down by already slow demand and concerns that the weakening global economy will drive demand down even more.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  n/a - - -  to  - - -
  n/a - - -  to  - - -

Chicago Futures: Nov down  49  at  1784 1/2 
 Jan '09 down  49  at  1818 1/2 
 Mar '09 down  49 1/2  at  1850 
 May '09 down  48  at  1883 1/2 
 n/a down  - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice posted near limit losses today and November shattered support at $18.30. This market, like many others, is under significant pressure as index funds liquidate long positions. General economic worries are having an impact as well. The next downside objective for November is the chart gap between $17.60 and $17.42 ½.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: October 02, 2008

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 2,391 head at sales in Charlotte, Ratcliff and Green Forest.  Compared with last week, feeder steers sold mostly $2-5 lower .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 106.92 to - - -
  500 to 550 lbs. 102.20 to - - -
  600 to 650 lbs. 102.61 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 108.42 to - - -

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 93.32 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 87.96 to - - -

Slaughter Cows, Boners 42   to   48
Light Weight 33 to 36
Bulls, Yield Grade   1-2   1000   to   2100 lbs.   56   to   63.50, high dressing untested
Midwest Steers   remained   at   96   to   97
Panhandle Steers   were $2-1 lower   at   96   to   97

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
  n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
Heifers n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
  n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Dec down 240 at 9807
  Feb down 282 at 9780
Feeders: Nov down 300 at 10060
  Jan down 300 at 10070

Cattle Comment
Cattle futures posted sharp, across the board losses. This market, as well, is under pressure from concerns that economic weakness will hurt demand for beef. Weaker wholesale beef prices are underscoring those concerns this week.

Hogs
Peoria: were     steady   at   45   to   45.5

Chicago Futures: Dec down 157 at 6140
  Feb down 215 at 6820

Sheep
St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs   at   n/a   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hogs were also lower. Weaker corn prices are a negative for deferred hogs as herd liquidations are expected to slow. General economic concerns continue to weigh on the market, sparking concerns of weakening global demand for pork.



Poultry  Date: October 02, 2008

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 113-117; Lg. 111-115; Med. 99-103;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 101-109; Lg. 99-107; Med. 88-96;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 98-102
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 97-102
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Trade sentiment was about steady to barely steady. Demand approaching the weekend was light to fair with limited first of the month trading. Supplies of all sizes were at least adequate to satisfy current requirements. In production areas, live supplies were moderate at mostly desirable weights.

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