Tuesday, April 8, 2008

04/08/2008 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: April 08, 2008

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Apr) EAST AR:  1172 to 1202
(NC) Summ. 1086 to 1125
River Elevators:
(Apr) MISS: 1162 to 1223 ; AR & White 1191 to 1199
(NC) Summ. 1104 to 1134
Ark. Processor Bids: (Apr) 1181 to 1195  (NC) 1123 to - - -
Memphis:  (Apr) 1221 1/2 to 1229 1/2 (NC)  1135 1/2 to 1140 1/2
Riceland Foods:  (Apr) Stuttgart 1195 ; Pendleton 1202 ; West Memphis 1223

Chicago Futures: May down 3 1/2 at  1251 1/2
  Jul  down  3 3/4  at  1268 3/4
  Aug down at  1262
  Nov down 9 1/2  at  1205 1/2
  Nov '09 down at  1169
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans ended lower as traders evened positions ahead of tomorrow’s supply/demand report. Ending stocks are expected to be 157 million bushels, as opposed to 140 million in the March report. Weather will continue to be a major factor as wet, cold conditions are slowing corn planting in some areas. Drier weather forecasts for much of the Midwest favors increased corn planting. Look for corn and soybean futures to remain volatile over the next 4 to 6 weeks. November soybeans may have established a trading range between last week’s low of $10.60 and Monday’s high of $12.45. Additional resistance is located near and below $13.

Wheat
Cash bid for new crop at Memphis  817 1/2 to - - -;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 768-798;
River Elevators 763-818;

Chicago Futures: May up  12 3/4  at  934 
  Jul up 13  at  947 1/2 
  Sep up  11 1/2  at  959 
  Dec up  15  at  975 
  Jul '09 up  18  at  950 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for April at Memphis  993 to - - -;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 911-973;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for April at Memphis   581 1/4 to 583 1/4;
  new crop at Memphis   563 to - - -;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  561 to 577

Chicago Futures: May up  2 3/4  at  592 3/4 
  Jul up  1 3/4  at  605 
  Sep up  at  606 1/2 
  Dec up  at  604 1/2 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat ended the day higher but was unable to recover much of yesterday’s big loss. Support came this morning from the weekly crop ratings. USDA says that only 45% of the winter wheat crop is in good to excellent condition. July has support at the recent low of $9.05, and a close below that level will suggest a move toward support between $6.80 and $8.50.



Cotton & Rice  Date: April 08, 2008


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis down 86 at  6494
  Greenwood down  86 at 6494

New York Futures: May down  86  at  7194 
  Jul down  86  at  7549 
 Dec down  64  at  8267 
 Mar '09 down  53  at  8537 
 May '09 down  48  at  8627 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  0 cents
  The estimate for next week is  0 cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton was unable to build any upward momentum on yesterday’s big gains and traded in a narrow range before closing lower. Long term fundamentals remain negative and should limit upside potential. Tomorrow’s supply/demand report could see another decline in projected exports and an increase in projected stocks. If that occurs it will mean use fell below last year’s reduced crop of 19.03 million bales. Current support for December remains 77 cents.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  Apr/May 1756/cwt  to  - - -
  - - - - - -  to  - - -

Chicago Futures: May down  52  at  2048 
 Jul down  48  at  2080 
 Sep up  15  at  1950 
 Nov up  at  1945 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice closed up the limit with November registering the 4th consecutive day of new contract highs. The solid close above $19 now suggests the next upside objective will be $20. Producers need to consider adding to ’08 crop pricing despite the fact the market has given little or no indication of topping. The current price offers a very definite profit level for most producers. Underlying fundamentals are unchanged with tight U.S. and world stocks fueling the market. On the international side, little rice is available except in Thailand and prices there are now over $800/tonne.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: April 08, 2008

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 1,421 head at sales in Fort Smith & Marshall.  Compared with last week, feeder steers sold mostly weak to $3 lower .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 114 to 125
  500 to 550 lbs. 105 to 114.50
  600 to 650 lbs. 98 to 108
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 105 to 118

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 92 to 112.50
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 87.50 to 98

Slaughter Cows, Boners 45   to   51
Light Weight 35 to 38
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   59.75   to   67, high dressing 67-72
Midwest Steers   n/a   at   - - -   to   - - -
Panhandle Steers   n/a   at   - - -   to   - - -

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers 550 to 600 lbs. 113.50 to 118.25
  600 to 650 lbs. 107.25 to 111.25
Heifers 500 to 550 lbs. 102 to 107.50
  600 to 650 lbs. 95.50 to 103

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Apr steady at 8787
  Jun up 7 at 8957
Feeders: May up 92 at 10285
  Aug up 45 at 10670

Cattle Comment
Cattle futures were higher again today. Deferreds were supported by ideas high feed costs will result in herd liquidation. Disappointing beef prices and movement continue to weigh on futures. June is chipping away at trendline resistance below $90 and will need to move above that to suggest that a bottom has been charted and further gains are possible.

Hogs
Peoria: were     steady   at   29.5   to   30

Chicago Futures: Apr up 20 at 5910
  Jun down 75 at 7130

Sheep
St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs   at   n/a   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hogs were lower again today with prices under pressure from burdensome hog supplies and futures’ premium to cash prices. Nearby June has clearly broken out of the long-term downtrend. However, the market needs to move above resistance at $72.75-$72.80 to suggest further gains are possible.



Poultry  Date: April 08, 2008

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 130-134; Lg. 128-132; Med. 113-117;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 124-132; Lg. 122-130; Med. 109-117;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 84-86
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 84-86
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Trade sentiment was generally steady. Supplies of all sizes were usually more than sufficient to satisfy trade needs. In production areas, live supplies were moderate at mixed, but mostly desirable weights.

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