Grain & Soybean Date: March 31, 2008 Soybeans
Local Elevators:
(Mar) EAST AR: 1117 to 1140
(NC) Summ. 970 to 1009
River Elevators:
(Mar) MISS: 1100 to 1163 ; AR & White 1130 to - - -
(NC) Summ. 988 to 1017
Ark. Processor Bids: (Mar) 1130 to 1134 (NC) 1007 to - - -
Memphis: (Mar) 1152 1/4 to 1157 1/4 (NC) 1019 1/2 to - - -
Riceland Foods: (Mar/Apr) Stuttgart 1134 ; Pendleton 1140 ; West Memphis 1163
Chicago Futures: | May | down | 70 | at | 1197 1/4 |
| Jul | down | 70 | at | 1215 |
| Aug | down | 70 | at | 1197 |
| Nov | down | 70 | at | 1089 1/2 |
| Nov '09 | down | 70 | at | 1039 1/2 |
| Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is: | 0¢ |
Soybean Comment
Soybeans were hit with a double whammy today as both the stocks report and planting intentions at 7.4 million acres, up 18% from 07 and well above pre report estimates. Big increases were noted in mid-South, the Dakotas and Nebraska. Arkansas plantings were projected to be 3.25 million acres, a 15% increase from last year. The quarterly stocks put soybeans at 1.43 billion bushels, over 70 million bushels more than anticipated. Soybeans were down the 70 cents limit with November gapping lower and closing less than 20 cents above the next support around $10.70. Corn plantings were set at 86 million acres, about 2 million below expectations. This puts corn in a precarious situation and allowed the market to close mostly higher. December briefly traded to $6.01 leaving that as potential resistance in the days ahead.
Wheat
Cash bid for new crop at Memphis 769 to 782;
Bids to farmers at Local Elevators | 737-762; |
River Elevators | 734-770; |
Chicago Futures: | May | down | 60 | at | 929 |
| Jul | down | 59 | at | 937 |
| Sep | down | 54 | at | 946 |
| Dec | down | 60 | at | 960 |
| Jul '09 | down | 48 | at | 927 |
| Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is: | 0¢ |
Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for March at Memphis 959 to 968;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators | 877-939; |
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is: | 0¢ |
Corn
Cash bid for | March at Memphis 558 1/4 to 559 1/4; |
| new crop at Memphis 539 1/2 to - - -; |
Bids to farmers at River Elevators | 537 to 555 |
Chicago Futures: | May | up | 8 1/2 | at | 569 |
| Jul | up | 8 1/4 | at | 569 |
| Sep | up | 8 1/4 | at | 584 1/2 |
| Dec | up | 4 1/4 | at | 581 |
| Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is: | 0¢ |
Grain Comment
Wheat futures gapped lower today. The report was slightly bearish, with total wheat seedings coming in at 63.8 million acres, a bit above the average trade guess. However, July has pushed below support at $10, further evidence that a top has been charted. The next downward objective is around $9.20.
Cotton & Rice Date: March 31, 2008
Cotton
Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: | Memphis down 234 at 6234 |
| Greenwood down 234 at 6234 |
New York Futures: | May | down | 211 | at | 6957 |
| Jul | down | 206 | at | 7305 |
| Dec | down | 216 | at | 7951 |
| Mar '09 | down | 247 | at | 8173 |
| May '09 | down | 170 | at | 8325 |
This week's LDP rate for cotton is | 0 cents |
| The estimate for next week is | 0 cents |
Cotton Comment Cotton closed sharply lower today despite projected 08 plantings of 9.39 million acres. This was in line with expectations, but some had hoped for a number under 9 million acres. Arkansas plantings were projected 24% lower at 650,000. Similar cuts were seen in registered potential gains from 07. Declining export demand is leaving big stocks for the market to deal with. Upside potential is limited as some acreage in the Mississippi delta may move back to cotton as a result of recent flooding. All in all, the outlook for cotton is not real good. December is in position to test support at the recent low of 76.34 or the next level around 75 cents. There will be strong resistance between 80 and 85 cents.
Rice
Long Grain Cash Bid for | Mar | 1575/cwt | to | - - - |
| Apr | 1625/cwt | to | - - - |
Chicago Futures: | May | up | 1 1/2 | at | 1969 |
| Jul | up | 11 | at | 2011 |
| Sep | up | 26 | at | 1795 |
| Nov | up | 28 | at | 1795 |
| - - - | | - - - | at | - - - |
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is | 0¢ |
medium grain rice is | 0¢ |
Rice Comment Rice moved higher again today as USDA planting intentions of 2.77 million acres were virtually unchanged from a year ago. In Arkansas, a 3% increase to 1.37 million acres was indicated. Cuts were noted for Louisiana, Mississippi and Missouri. It should be noted that surveys for this report were done in early March. Flooding and higher price levels could pull in some additional acreage. Overall the rice market remains bullish with tightening world stocks setting a situation in motion that in many ways resembles the wheat market earlier this year. Rice futures took everything in stride and closed higher with November pushing $18 at one point. The market appears to have further upside potential but it may be difficult with beans, wheat and cotton on the defensive.
Cattle & Hogs Date: March 31, 2008 Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 2,127 head at sales in Ash Flat & Springdale. Compared with last week, feeder steers sold mostly firm to $3 higher, heifers steady to $2 higher .
Steers: |
Medium & Large Frame 1 | 400 | to | 450 lbs. | 109 | to | 126 |
|
| 500 | to | 550 lbs. | 100 | to | 123 |
|
| 600 | to | 650 lbs. | 108 | to | 111 |
|
Medium & Large Frame 2 | 400 | to | 450 lbs. | 100 | to | 117 |
Heifers: |
Medium & Large Frame 1 | 400 | to | 450 lbs. | 90 | to | 108 |
|
Medium & Large Frame 2 | 400 | to | 450 lbs. | 85 | to | 104 |
Slaughter Cows, Boners 46 to 51
Light Weight 33 to 39
Bulls, Yield Grade 1 1000 to 2100 lbs. 58.50 to 64, high dressing 64-72.50
Midwest Steers were $3 lower to steady at 85 to 88
Panhandle Steers were $1 lower to $2 higher at 86 to 89
Oklahoma City Feeders
|
Steers | n/a | to | - - - lbs. | - - - | to | - - - |
| n/a | to | - - - lbs. | - - - | to | - - - |
Heifers | n/a | to | - - - lbs. | - - - | to | - - - |
| n/a | to | - - - lbs. | - - - | to | - - - |
Chicago Futures: Live Cattle: | Apr | down | 22 | at | 8742 |
| Jun | down | 12 | at | 8775 |
Feeders: | May | down | 105 | at | 10122 |
| Aug | down | 92 | at | 10575 |
Cattle Comment
Cattle futures were mostly lower on weakness in the hog pit and cash cattle market. Uncertainty about the strength of beef demand this spring is also a factor. Wholesale movement has been slow, apparently buyers are worried that economic woes will impact consumer choices.
Hogs Peoria: were steady at 28.5 to 29
Chicago Futures: | Apr | down | 105 | at | 5705 |
| Jun | down | 242 | at | 6795 |
Sheep St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs at n/a to - - -
Hogs Comment
Hog futures were sharply lower. June set a new low in todays trade. USDAs inventory report was clearly the driving factor, with the total inventory of market hogs pegged at 106.6% of last years total. The average trade guess was 105.3%.
Poultry Date: March 31, 2008 Eggs
New York: | Ex. Lg. 153-157; Lg. 151-155; Med. 127-131; |
Chicago: | Ex. Lg. 148-156; Lg. 146-154; Med. 125-133; |
Eastern Region Turkeys Hens: | 8-16 lbs. | 82-84 |
Toms: | 16-24 lbs. | 82-84 |
| | |
Delmarva Broilers U.S. Grade ATrade sentiment was mostly about steady. Supplies of all sizes were more than sufficient to satisfy trade needs. In production areas, live supplies were moderate at mixed, but mostly desirable weights.
----------------------------------------
HOW TO UNSUBSCRIBE
You are receiving this newsletter because you requested that your e-mail address be added to the Arkansas Farm Bureau Market Report.
To unsubscribe or change your subscription information, go to
http://www.arfb.com/commodity_marketing/email/
----------------------------------------
QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS?
If you have any comments or questions about this e-newsletter please e-mail us at mktrpt@arfb.com
Arkansas Farm Bureau
10720 Kanis Road
Little Rock, AR 72211
501-224-4400
Copyright 2008
Arkansas Farm Bureau, Inc.
All rights reserved
Terms of Use