Tuesday, December 11, 2007

12/11/2007 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: December 11, 2007

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Dec) EAST AR:  1089 to 1117
(NC) Summ. 1105 to - - -
River Elevators:
(Dec) MISS: 1106 to 1126 ; AR & White 1090 to 1101
(NC) Summ. 1104 to 1137
Ark. Processor Bids: (Dec) 1101 to 1107  (NC) 1121 to 1137
Memphis:  (Dec) 1121 1/2 to 1125 1/2 (NC)  1016 1/2 to - - -
Riceland Foods:  (Dec) Stuttgart 1106 ; Pendleton 1116 ; West Memphis 1125

Chicago Futures: Jan up 9 3/4 at  1135 1/2
  Mar  up  10 1/4  at  1154 1/2
  May up 11 1/4  at  1165 1/2
  Nov '08 up 1 1/4  at  1056 1/2
  Nov '09 up at  991
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans moved to new highs again today in reaction to the monthly supply/demand report. USDA bumped exports 20 million bushels and the domestic crush by 5 million, leaving ending stocks of only 185 million bushels. The world stocks estimate was cut by 4%.

Wheat
Cash bid for new crop at Memphis  716 to - - -;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 696-706;
River Elevators 693-726;

Chicago Futures: Mar down  19  at  910 1/2 
  May down 15 3/4  at  947 3/4 
  Jul down  18 1/2  at  806 
  Sep down  14 1/2  at  809 
  Jul '09 down  10  at  760 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for December at Memphis  784 to 791;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 664-727;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for December at Memphis   418 to - - -;
  new crop at Memphis   416 1/4 to - - -;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  395 to 412

Chicago Futures: Mar up  6 1/4  at  424 
  May up  6 1/2  at  434 1/2 
  Jul up  5 3/4  at  441 
  Dec '08 up  2 1/2  at  442 1/4 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat turned lower despite a bullish report. USDA’s ending stocks estimate was cut to 280 million bushels thanks to a 25 million bushel increase in the export estimate. With new crop July trading at record high prices, it is apparent that the tight supply situation is well known and already built in to current prices.



Cotton & Rice  Date: December 11, 2007


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis down 57 at  5888
  Greenwood down  57 at 5888

New York Futures: Mar down  55  at  6415 
  May down  36  at  6595 
 Jul down  63  at  6740 
 Dec down  30  at  7200 
 Mar down  10  at  7460 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  0 cents
  The estimate for next week is  0 cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton futures turned lower. As expected, USDA did raise U.S. production in today’s report, leaving ending stocks up 100,000 bales from last month’s report. Rising wheat and bean prices may sway producers to move additional acreage from cotton at current price levels. Current estimates suggest a 10 million acre or less crop. So, the lower the market goes now, the better price will be at some point in the future.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  Jan 1201/cwt  to  - - -
  Feb/Mar 1201  to  1254/cwt

Chicago Futures: Jan down  at  1326 
 Mar down  at  1357 
 May down  at  1379 
 Sep down  11  at  1334 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice futures ended lower despite a bullish report. The USDA raised the export estimate by 2 million hundredweight and that carried over into the ending stocks estimate. The world ending stocks estimate was also lower; 72.17 million metric tons, down nearly 2 million metric tons from last month. Higher grain futures may be pulling acreage from rice, so higher price levels will be needed if that uptrend continues.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: December 11, 2007

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 1,648 head at sales in Fort Smith & Marshall.  Compared with last week, feeder steers sold $3-8 lower, heifers weak to $5 lower. Winter weather hampered movement and depressed sales .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 114 to 124
  500 to 550 lbs. 104 to 114
  600 to 700 lbs. 97 to 105
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 102 to 112

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 97 to 107
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 80 to 90

Slaughter Cows, Boners 40   to   44
Light Weight 32 to 35
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   53   to   56, high dressing 56-59
Midwest Steers   n/a   at   - - -   to   - - -
Panhandle Steers   n/a   at   - - -   to   - - -

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
  n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
Heifers n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
  n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Feb up 12 at 9725
  Jun up 15 at 9410
Feeders: Jan down 15 at 10597
  Mar up 15 at 10785

Cattle Comment
Live cattle futures were higher on ideas winter weather will hurt cattle performance. February found solid support around $96. The upturn came despite exceptionally large beef supplies and heavy competition from pork. The market is beginning to anticipate lighter placements in the months ahead as futures are not higher enough to cover feed lot costs.

Hogs
Peoria: n/a       at   - - -   to   - - -

Chicago Futures: Feb down 32 at 6302
  Jun down 55 at 7700

Sheep
St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs   at   n/a   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
The winter weather in the Midwest has lasted too long and now traders are worried a backlog of market ready hogs will develop. Improved product demand and prices provided underlying support.



Poultry  Date: December 11, 2007

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 159-163; Lg. 157-161; Med. 149-153;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 151-159; Lg. 149-157; Med. 141-149;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 84-90
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 85-90
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Trade sentiment was mostly steady. Supplies of all sizes were usually more than sufficient to satisfy trade needs. In production areas, live supplies were moderate at mixed, but mostly desirable weights.

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