Monday, December 3, 2007

12/03/2007 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: December 03, 2007

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Dec) EAST AR:  1037 to 1065
(NC) Summ. 1062 to - - -
River Elevators:
(Dec) MISS: 1054 to 1070 ; AR & White 1042 to 1050
(NC) Summ. 1054 to 1078
Ark. Processor Bids: (Dec) 1054 to 1055  (NC) 1078 to 1080
Memphis:  (Dec) 1083 3/4 to 1085 3/4 (NC)  975 1/2 to 976 1/2
Riceland Foods:  (Dec) Stuttgart 1055 ; Pendleton 1065 ; West Memphis 1069

Chicago Futures: Jan down 1 1/4 at  1078 3/4
  March  unchanged  at  1097 1/2
  May up 1/4  at  1106 1/4
  Nov '08 up 4 3/4  at  1015 1/2
  Nov '09 up at  961
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans rebounded from early weakness to close mixed. A good export report and higher corn values limited potential downside losses in soybeans. Technically, January soybeans touched trendline support just below $10.70 before rebounding to recoup most of the early decline. Ability to hold above trendline support will be a signal of additional upside potential. On the other hand, a close below this level will likely signal downside weakness.

Wheat
Cash bid for new crop at Memphis  682 to 684;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 662-677;
River Elevators 663-677;

Chicago Futures: Dec down  12  at  855 
  March down 8 3/4  at  876 3/4 
  May down  8 1/2  at  872 
  July '08 down  at  757 
  July '09 down  at  727 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for December at Memphis  721 to 810;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 609-673;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for December at Memphis   395 1/2 to - - -;
  New crop at Memphis   401 1/2 to - - -;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  376 to 393

Chicago Futures: Dec up  1 1/2  at  386 
  March up  at  403 1/2 
  May up  at  414 
  Dec '08 up  at  431 1/2 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat closed lower despite a good export report. July futures showed some weakness, as the market attempted to retrace a portion of the more than 75 cents that was gained over the last two weeks. Technically, the market is overbought and due a correction, but it may be short lived due to tight world stocks and dry conditions in the Midwest.



Cotton & Rice  Date: December 03, 2007


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis down 1 at  5745
  Greenwood down  1 at 5745

New York Futures: March down  at  6345 
  May down  at  6510 
 July down  19  at  6680 
 Dec '08 down  at  7113 
 March '09 down  15  at  7345 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  0 cents
  The estimate for next week is  0 cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton could not muster much upside movement after breaking major trendline support last Friday. The market continues to look at a growing U.S. supply. The feeling is that USDA will likely have to increase the Texas crop, once again, in the December supply demand report. The next major support for March futures is around 60 cents, the late August low.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  December 1151/cwt  to  - - -
  January 1161/cwt  to  - - -

Chicago Futures: Jan up  8 1/2  at  1295 1/2 
 March up  at  1329 
 May up  at  1355 
 Sept unchanged  at  1326 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
January rice futures made a little rebound after declining almost 50 cents last week. Current resistance is the recent high of $13.34. Thai farmers are not bothering with using the government intervention program since the market is so strong. Thailand has authorized the purchase of up to 9 mmt but that appears to be unnecessary considering the firm market undertone at the same time bans remain in place in India and Vietnam. U.S. exports, both milled and rough, continue at a good pace. January futures have downside retracement objectives of $12.78 and $12.61.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: December 03, 2007

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 3058 head at sales in Ash Flat and Springdale.  Compared with last week, feeder steers under 600 lbs sold $4 to $9 higher, over 600 lbs. firm to $4 higher. Feeder heifers sold $2 to $5 higher .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 120 to 130
  500 to 550 lbs. 108 to 118
  600 to 700 lbs. 98 to 108
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 118 to 128

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   500 to 550 lbs. 95 to 105
 Medium & Large Frame 2   350 to 400 lbs. 100 to 110

Slaughter Cows, Boners 40   to   45
Light Weight 30 to 36
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   51.5   to   57.5
Midwest Steers   were   at   93   to   95.50
Panhandle Steers   were   at   93   to   95.50

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers 500 to 550 lbs. 118 to 129.25
  550 to 600 lbs. 119.5 to 121
Heifers 500 to 550 lbs. 111 to 116.50
  550 to 600 lbs. 108 to 110

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Feb up 60 at 9637
  June up 42 at 9345
Feeders: Jan up 35 at 10805
  March up 50 at 10880

Cattle Comment
Cattle futures firmed today after the live December tested key support around $94 in the last 2 sessions. Concerns about beef demand and expectations for bigger cattle supplies in the weeks ahead limited upside potential. January feeders rebounded after finding support just above $107.

Hogs
Peoria: were 50¢ to $2     higher   at   31   to   31.5

Chicago Futures: Feb down 107 at 6122
  June down 25 at 7622

Sheep
St. Paul n/a   at   - - -   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hog futures lost ground as traders took advantage of the premium above cash to lock in forward prices. Good packer demand limited the downturn, while big hog supplies aided the decline.



Poultry  Date: December 03, 2007

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 159-163; Lg. 157-161; Med. 144-148;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 151-159; Lg. 149-157; Med. 136-144;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 88-91
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 88-91
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Movement of ready to cook whole birds was light to moderate entering the week. Offerings were at least adequate to available for current trade needs. Live supplies were moderate; weights were mixed, but noted as mostly desirable. Processing schedules ranged moderate to moderately heavy. Less than trucklot asking prices were one cent lower at 67 to 81 cents. Trade sentiment was barely steady to weak.

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