Monday, December 10, 2007

12/10/2007 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: December 10, 2007

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Dec) EAST AR:  1079 to 1107
(NC) Summ. 1095 to - - -
River Elevators:
(Dec) MISS: 1096 to 1116 ; AR & White 1080 to 1091
(NC) Summ. 1096 to 1127
Ark. Processor Bids: (Dec) 1096 to 1097  (NC) 1117 to 1127
Memphis:  (Dec) 1119 3/4 to 1120 3/4 (NC)  1015 1/4 to 1016 1/4
Riceland Foods:  (Dec) Stuttgart 1097 ; Pendleton 1107 ; West Memphis 1116

Chicago Futures: Jan up 6 at  1125 3/4
  Mar  up  5 1/2  at  1144 1/4
  May up 7 3/4  at  1154 1/4
  Nov '08 up 1 3/4  at  1055 1/4
  Nov '09 up at  990
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans again followed wheat higher. The overall market is being bolstered by new congressional mandates for bio fuels. The weaker dollar, while possibly bottoming, is still enticing strong exports and the U.S. is the major source for the time being. USDA is expected to cut its ending stocks estimate in tomorrow’s report, also a plus for prices today.

Wheat
Cash bid for new crop at Memphis  734 1/2 to 739 1/2;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 715-725;
River Elevators 714-745;

Chicago Futures: Mar up  at  929 1/2 
  May up 11 1/2  at  930 
  Jul up  16 1/2  at  824 1/2 
  Sep up  16 1/2  at  827 1/2 
  Jul '08 up  at  770 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for December at Memphis  764 to 773;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 654-716;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for December at Memphis   411 3/4 to - - -;
  new crop at Memphis   411 1/2 to - - -;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  389 to 406

Chicago Futures: Mar up  1/2  at  400 1/2 
  May up  1/4  at  428 
  Jul up  1/4  at  435 1/4 
  Dec '08 up  3/4  at  439 3/4 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat continues to find strength in the poor Midwest moisture level and indications this is not going to improve significantly in the near future. USDA is expected to cut its ending stocks estimate in tomorrow’s report. New crop July is trading above $8—record high prices.



Cotton & Rice  Date: December 10, 2007


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis up 92 at  5945
  Greenwood up  92 at 5945

New York Futures: Mar up  12  at  6467 
  May up  27  at  6640 
 Jul up  30  at  6810 
 Dec '08 up  20  at  7235 
 Mar '09 up  55  at  7470 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  0 cents
  The estimate for next week is  0 cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton futures ended mostly higher. Overall fundamentals for cotton continue to look negative. While export sales have increased in recent weeks, USDA may still need to adjust projected utilization. At the same time, the Texas crop may have grown also. The bottom line is projected ending stocks are likely to increase from the November supply/demand report, possibly approaching 8 million bales. Rising wheat and bean prices may sway producers to move additional acreage from cotton. Current estimates suggest a 10 million acre or less crop. So, the lower the market goes now, the better price will be at some point in the future.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  Dec 1186/cwt  to  - - -
  Feb/Mar 1254/cwt  to  - - -

Chicago Futures: Jan down  at  1331 
 Mar down  at  1364 
 May down  at  1386 
 Sep unchanged    at  1345 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice futures were lower today as traders evened positions ahead of tomorrow’s report. However, look for rice to also test resistance at recent highs as the overall tightness of world stocks provides underlying support. There has been little change in fundamentals as U.S. rice, both rough and milled, continues to move at a good pace. Thailand remains the major exporter as they have the only other available rice. Vietnam and India’s export bans remain in place. Higher grain futures may be pulling acreage from rice, so higher price levels will be needed if that uptrend continues.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: December 10, 2007

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 1,908 head at sales in Springdale.  Compared with last week, feeder steers sold steady to $6 lower, mostly $2-4 lower .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 125 to 134
  500 to 550 lbs. 115 to 119
  600 to 700 lbs. 85 to 93
 Medium & Large Frame 2   350 to 400 lbs. 93 to 103

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 102 to 110
 Medium & Large Frame 2   350 to 400 lbs. 93 to 103

Slaughter Cows, Boners 41   to   45
Light Weight 30 to 36
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   53   to   57, high dressing 58-64
Midwest Steers   were $1-2 higher   at   90   to   94
Panhandle Steers   were $2-2.50 higher   at   89   to   94.50

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
  n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
Heifers n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
  n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Feb up 37 at 9712
  Jun up 20 at 9425
Feeders: Jan up 17 at 10612
  Mar up 25 at 10770

Cattle Comment
Live cattle futures were higher on ideas winter weather will disrupt marketings. February found solid support around $96. The upturn came despite exceptionally large beef supplies and heavy competition from pork. The market is beginning to anticipate lighter placements in the months ahead as futures are not higher enough to cover feed lot costs.

Hogs
Peoria: were     steady   at   33   to   33.5

Chicago Futures: Feb up 165 at 6335
  Jun up 45 at 7755

Sheep
St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs   at   n/a   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hogs were higher thanks to the winter storm in the Midwest that is disrupting marketings. Improved product demand and expectations for smaller supplies of market ready hogs were also supportive. However, this is likely to be short-lived as product demand tends to soften through the end of the holidays.



Poultry  Date: December 10, 2007

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 159-163; Lg. 157-161; Med. 149-153;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 151-159; Lg. 149-157; Med. 141-149;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 84-90
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 85-90
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Trade sentiment was generally steady. Supplies all sizes were usually sufficient to statisfy trade needs. In production areas, live supplies were moderate at mixed, but mostly desirable weights.

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