Friday, September 25, 2009

09/25/2009 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: September 25, 2009

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Sep) EAST AR:  907 to 923
(NC) Summ. 907 to 923
River Elevators:
(Sep) MISS: 948 to 956 ; AR & White 907 to 922
(NC) Summ. 907 to 948
Ark. Processor Bids: (Sep) 917 to - - -  (NC) 917 to - - -
Memphis:  (Sep) 948 to 1006 (NC)  942 to 944
Riceland Foods:  (Sep) Stuttgart 917 ; Pendleton 923 ; West Memphis 948

Chicago Futures: Nov up 6 1/2 at  926
  Jan '10  up  6 1/2  at  931
  Mar '10 up 5 1/2  at  932
  Jul '10 up at  932 1/2
  Nov '10 up 5 1/2  at  906 1/2
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans ended the week on a positive note. Strong export sales are supporting the market despite the potential for a record harvest. Exports are currently 88% greater than last year at this time. Good weather almost assures a record soybean crop, perhaps larger than USDA’s September estimate. For the time being, support at $9 is holding strong.

Corn turned lower, but December support at $3.00 looks solid for the time being. The market appears to have the huge crop already built in to current prices. Crude oil has lost ground this week, but strength in corn has continued. There is still much of the crop in the field, and there are legitimate questions about the quality of what remains to be harvested.

Wheat
Cash bid for September at Memphis  285 3/4 to 299 3/4;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 371;
River Elevators 400-423;

Chicago Futures: Dec down  23 1/4  at  449 3/4 
  Mar '10 down 23  at  569 3/4 
  May '10 down  22 1/4  at  484 1/2 
  Jul '10 down  18 1/2  at  500 3/4 
  Sep '10 down  18  at  516 1/4 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for September at Memphis  n/a to - - -;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 500-575;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for September at Memphis   344 to 346;
  new crop at Memphis   302 1/4 to 332 1/4;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  324 to 342

Chicago Futures: Dec down  2 1/2  at  334 
  Mar '10 down  at  346 3/4 
  Jul '10 down  3 1/4  at  363 3/4 
  Dec '10 down  at  383 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat futures posted sharp losses. Old crop December posted a bearish key reversal and broke out the bottom of the recent trading range that had held the market for the past few weeks. The upside continues to be limited by weak demand—exports are down 40% for the marketing year.



Cotton & Rice  Date: September 25, 2009


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis down 277 at  5779
  Greenwood down  277 at 5779

New York Futures: Oct down  246  at  6060 
  Dec down  287  at  6194 
 Mar '10 down  269  at  6394 
 May '10 down  266  at  6519 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  3.15 cents
  The estimate for next week is  2.97 cents
Cotton Comment
December cotton charted a bearish key reversal today after failing to push above the recent high just below 65.50 cents. Today’s action appears to be technical in nature. Recent weather in the mid-South will impact both yield and quality as harvest activities are pushed later. A smaller crop will lower ending stocks expectations and combined with improving economic conditions should give the market a boost at some point later in the 09/10 marketing year.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  Sep/Oct/Nov 1214/cwt  to  - - -
  - - - - - -  to  - - -

Chicago Futures: Nov up  2 1/2  at  1308 1/2 
 Jan '10 up  3 1/2  at  1334 
 Mar '10 up  3 1/2  at  1359 
 May '10 up  3 1/2  at  1383 1/2 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice ended a bit higher after a roller-coaster week. Global demand remains slow, and that is limiting futures. Traders continued to show concern about the mid-South crop where rains have further delayed a late crop. This will result in both yield and quality loss and should trim future estimates of ending stocks for 09/10.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: September 25, 2009

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 14,230 head at sales in Arkansas this week.  Compared with last week, feeder steers sold steady to $2 lower. Feeder heifers $1-5 lower .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 110 to - - -
  500 to 550 lbs. 96.25 to - - -
  600 to 650 lbs. 89.75 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 97 to - - -

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 90 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 83.25 to - - -

Slaughter Cows, Boners 38.50   to   45.50
Light Weight 27 to 35
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   51.60   to   56, high dressing 56.50-61
Midwest Steers   were $2.50 higher   at   84.50   to   - - -
Panhandle Steers   were $2.50 higher   at   84.50   to   - - -

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers 500 to 550 lbs. 98 to 110
  600 to 650 lbs. 95 to 106.75
Heifers 500 to 550 lbs. 85 to 102
  600 to 650 lbs. 86 to 98.85

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Oct down 5 at 8605
  Dec up 7 at 8535
Feeders: Oct down 52 at 9660
  Nov down 55 at 9672

Cattle Comment
Live cattle futures were little-changed today. October has resistance at $86.50 that is limiting the upside. Recent strength in corn has taken its toll on feeders.

Hogs
Peoria: were     steady   at   27   to   29

Chicago Futures: Oct down 27 at 4995
  Dec down 32 at 4902

Sheep
St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs   at   n/a   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hog futures ended lower as traders bided their time ahead of this afternoon’s inventory report. The market is expecting the breeding herd to be about 3% smaller than a year ago at this time.



Poultry  Date: September 25, 2009

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 99-103; Lg. 97-101; Med. 76-80;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 84-92; Lg. 82-90; Med. 67-75;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 78-82
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 78-82
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
The market tone was barely steady. Supplies of all sizes were more than sufficient to satisfy current trade needs. In production areas, live supplies were moderate at desirable to heavy weights.

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