Tuesday, September 8, 2009

09/08/2009 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: September 08, 2009

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Sep) EAST AR:  n/a to - - -
(NC) Summ. 921 to 937
River Elevators:
(Sep) MISS: 937 to 949 ; AR & White 915 to 936
(NC) Summ. 914 to 960
Ark. Processor Bids: (Sep) n/a to - - -  (NC) 928 to 931
Memphis:  (Sep) 941 1/2 to 961 1/2 (NC)  951 1/2 to 956 1/2
Riceland Foods:  (Sep) Stuttgart 931 ; Pendleton 937 ; West Memphis 960

Chicago Futures: Nov up 14 1/2 at  936 1/2
  Jan '10  up  16 1/4  at  943 1/4
  Mar '10 up 19 1/2  at  947 1/4
  Jul '10 up 20  at  950
  Nov '10 up 19 1/2  at  908 1/2
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans closed with solid gains despite continuing good weather and indications this will be a record crop. Outside markets were a big boost as they renewed inflation fears, which prompted fund buying. November hit resistance at the previous support around $9.40. This could be tough resistance, and the next area around $10.17 would seem to be out of the question considering the potential size of this crop.

Corn traded to both sides of Friday’s close before ending the session with modest gains. December continues to hold above $3 but they may be short lived as private yield estimates continue to move higher. Some are above 165 and others suggest it could reach 170. No matter, either would leave a big stocks situation and pressure the market toward long term chart support at $2.90 and perhaps $2.65.

Wheat
Cash bid for September at Memphis  288 to 309;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 373;
River Elevators 393-418;

Chicago Futures: Dec down  12 3/4  at  459 
  Mar '10 down 12 3/4  at  478 3/4 
  May '10 down  12 1/2  at  491 1/4 
  Jul '10 down  12  at  503 
  Sep '10 down  11 1/2  at  518 1/2 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for September at Memphis  537 to 558;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 450-533;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for September at Memphis   297 1/2 to - - -;
  new crop at Memphis   n/a to - - -;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  450 to 533

Chicago Futures: Dec up  1 1/4  at  307 1/2 
  Mar '10 up  1 1/4  at  321 
  Jul '10 up  1 1/4  at  339 
  Dec '10 up  1 1/4  at  357 3/4 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat continued the slide lower with little indication a bottom is in sight. Big supplies and limited export interest are driving the market, which should be finding a bottom soon. Seasonally, the market rebounds after harvest, peaking in October or November.



Cotton & Rice  Date: September 08, 2009


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis up 250 at  5603
  Greenwood up  250 at 5603

New York Futures: Oct up  125  at  5878 
  Dec up  113  at  6076 
 Mar '10 up  98  at  6310 
 May '10 up  107  at  6469 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  5.94 cents
  The estimate for next week is  5.74 cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton moved above recent resistance as the market remains in a broad trading range between 57 cents and 65.5 cents. Fear of inflation brought funds back in the market as cotton appears under-priced versus soybeans, rice, etc. However, it will be difficult for cotton to move above the upper end of the trading range without renewed import interest from China.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  Sep/Oct 1295  to  1300/cwt
  Nov 1300/cwt  to  - - -

Chicago Futures: Nov down  20 1/2  at  1395 
 Jan '10 down  20 1/2  at  1418 
 Mar '10 down  20 1/2  at  1442 
 May '10 down  19  at  1466 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice futures failed to move through resistance at $14.25 and slid lower into the close. Friday’s supply/demand report may hold the key, if USDA adjusts yield and or harvested acreage. The later harvest and concern about the size of this year’s crop has kept the market firm with major support around $13.40.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: September 08, 2009

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 1,747 head at sales in Ola, Ash Flat & Heber Springs.  Compared with last week, feeder steers sold weak to $4 lower .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 108 to - - -
  500 to 550 lbs. 98 to - - -
  600 to 650 lbs. 93 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 95 to - - -

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 91 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 85 to - - -

Slaughter Cows, Boners 38   to   45
Light Weight 25 to 28
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   52   to   57.50, high dressing $58-61.50
Midwest Steers   were $1-3 higher   at   83   to   85
Panhandle Steers   were $1lower to $3 higher   at   81   to   85

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
  n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
Heifers n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
  n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Oct up 45 at 8710
  Dec up 20 at 8687
Feeders: Oct up 62 at 9917
  Nov up 60 at 9987

Cattle Comment
Cattle firmed on good Labor Day weekend movement. Strong crude oil and a weaker dollar boosted inflation concerns but suggested improvement in the overall economy. Packers appear to be short of needs, which could prompt near term strength. October futures need to clear resistance near $87 to keep the uptrend intact.

Hogs
Peoria: were     steady   at   23   to   25

Chicago Futures: Oct up 47 at 5097
  Dec up 50 at 4895

Sheep
St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs   at   n/a   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hogs were higher again today as packer demand remains solid. Good packer margins should push plants to their maximum. This may be tough in the long run unless pork demand continues to increase, but good short term.



Poultry  Date: September 08, 2009

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 94-98; Lg. 92-96; Med. 69-73;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 83-91; Lg. 81-89; Med. 61-69;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 78-82
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 78-82
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
The market tone was steady. Retail and food service demand was light to moderate following the extended holiday weekend. Supplies of all sizes were fully sufficient to satisfy current trade needs. In production areas, live supplies were moderate at desirable weights.

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