Wednesday, September 19, 2007

09/19/2007 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: September 19, 2007

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Sep) EAST AR:  896 to 920
(NC) Summ. 897 to 926
River Elevators:
(Sep) MISS: 921 to 935 ; AR & White 906 to 935
(NC) Summ. 914 to 935
Ark. Processor Bids: (Sep) 920 to - - -  (NC) 925 to 926
Memphis:  (Sep) 922 to 936 (NC)  941 to - - -
Riceland Foods:  (Sep) Stuttgart 920 ; Pendleton 920 ; West Memphis 925

Chicago Futures: Nov up 1 1/2 at  971
  Jan  up  1 1/2  at  986
  Mar up at  995
  Jul '08 up at  1000 1/4
  Nov '08 up 11 1/4  at  939 1/2
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
There was very little action in the soybean market today. Soybeans opened the day down, looking as though they were beginning the downward correction that has been talked about for sometime now; however, prices soon strengthened and closed the day up slightly. Prices continue to march towards the $10 level, despite the market being overbought. While the market is overbought, the downward potential of soybean prices is small given the small crop and increasing demand this year.

Wheat
Cash bid for September at Memphis  791 to 796;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 514;
River Elevators 510-531;

Chicago Futures: Dec down  24  at  845 
  Mar down 23  at  849 1/2 
  May down  14 1/2  at  734 
  Jul '08 up  5 1/2  at  598 1/2 
  Jul '09 up  at  560 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for September at Memphis  693 to 720;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 627-693;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for September at Memphis   333 1/4 to 336 1/4;
  new crop at Memphis   355 1/2 to 380 1/2;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  307 to 330

Chicago Futures: Dec up  at  358 1/4 
  Mar up  5 3/4  at  374 3/4 
  May up  1 1/2  at  995 
  Dec '08 up  at  408 1/4 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Nearby wheat prices continued to slip today, closing the day down sharply; however July ’08 prices increased a nickel. Despite the news of a drought stricken Australian crop and tight world supplies, nearby wheat prices continue to fall. July ’08 prices remain strong as we move closer to the ’08 planting season. ’08 Wheat prices continue to move closer to the $6 level in an effort to pull acres away from other grains.



Cotton & Rice  Date: September 19, 2007


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis down 68 at  5942
  Greenwood down  68 at 5942

New York Futures: Oct down  60  at  6165 
  Dec down  90  at  6395 
 Mar down  78  at  6695 
 May down  80  at  6820 
 Dec '08 down  75  at  7250 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  .75 cents
  The estimate for next week is  0¢ cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton prices found resistance today. After opening above the August high of the 65 cent level, price strengthened, only to have prices decline and close the day down slightly. Cotton harvest continues to be slow with the USDA reporting only 6 percent of cotton harvested this year compared to 13 percent last year and 9 percent 5-year average. Tomorrow’s export sales report could push prices lower if sales continue at last week slower pace.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  Sep/Oct 1000  to  1030/cwt
  Nov 1030/cwt  to  - - -

Chicago Futures: Nov down  at  1130 
 Jan unchanged    at  1163 
 Mar up  at  1190 
 May up  at  1211 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
At the opening bell rice looked to be continuing yesterdays’ gains and looked like it might test resistance between $11.40 and $11.58, however, prices were never able to gather any steam and closed the day down slightly. Rice prices continue to have support from tightening global stocks and higher grain price which rice will have to compete for acres with in ’08. November futures have support at $11.05, $10.94 and $10.83, with resistance at last week’s high of $11.40 and the contract high of $11.58.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: September 19, 2007

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 1,134 head at sales in Conway & Pocahontas.  Compared with last week, feeder steers sold $2-4 lower, heifers steady to $3 lower .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 116 to 125
  500 to 550 lbs. 107 to 115
  600 to 650 lbs. 103 to 114
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 98 to 105

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 105 to 114
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 98 to 105

Slaughter Cows, Boners 44.50   to   48.50
Light Weight 30 to 32
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   60   to   61.50, high dressing untested
Midwest Steers   n/a   at   - - -   to   - - -
Panhandle Steers   n/a   at   - - -   to   - - -

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers 500 to 550 lbs. 118 to 128
  600 to 650 lbs. 118 to 124
Heifers 500 to 550 lbs. 108.50 to 116.85
  600 to 650 lbs. 105 to 110.50

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Oct down 15 at 9550
  Dec steady at 9945
Feeders: Oct down 17 at 11627
  Jan up 5 at 11497

Cattle Comment
Cattle futures ended mixed as traders evened positions ahead of the cattle on feed report that will be released Friday. The industry is expecting a big drop in placements again this month. October has support near $94.50.

Hogs
Peoria: were     steady   at   38.5   to   39

Chicago Futures: Oct down 67 at 6320
  Dec down 80 at 6520

Sheep
St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs   at   n/a   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hog futures continue to be under pressure from a bearish fundamental situation. Large hog supplies and rising pork production are causing concern. China rejected shipments of U.S. pork recently, saying that they won’t allow pork with trace amounts of a feed additive that is approved for use in the U.S., but not in China, into their country. October is testing the July low of $63.47.



Poultry  Date: September 19, 2007

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 131-135; Lg. 129-133; Med. 92-96;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 121-129; Lg. 119-127; Med. 86-94;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 92-96
Toms: 16-24 lbs 92-96
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Trade sentiment was weak to barely steady. Demand was slow to fair with trading confined to regular commitments. In production areas, live supplies were moderate at mostly desirable, heavier trending weights.

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