Wednesday, February 4, 2009

02/04/2009 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: February 04, 2009

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Jan) EAST AR:  932 to 955
(NC) Summ. 800 to 830
River Elevators:
(Jan) MISS: 955 to 970 ; AR & White 924 to 939
(NC) Summ. 810 to 840
Ark. Processor Bids: (Jan) 941 to 945  (NC) 810 to 830
Memphis:  (Jan) 969 1/2 to 974 1/2 (NC)  840 to - - -
Riceland Foods:  (Jan) Stuttgart 945 ; Pendleton 955 ; West Memphis 962

Chicago Futures: Mar up 3 1/2 at  949 1/2
  May  up  3 1/2  at  953 3/4
  Jul up 5 1/2  at  961
  Sep down 3 1/2  at  920 1/2
  Nov down at  890
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans closed mixed with old crop contracts slightly higher for the day. New crop contracts traded lower on the fear of big ’09 plantings and potential stocks that would result. November may be headed for a retest of the recent low near $8.

Corn closed lower over growing concern that demand numbers will be cut further in upcoming reports. Some analysts are projecting stocks of more than 2 billion bushels. On the other hand, this year’s plantings are projected lower with stocks tightening next year. March is testing support just under $3.60.

Wheat
Cash bid for January at Memphis  442 1/4 to 447 1/4;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 438-463;
River Elevators 455-488;

Chicago Futures: Mar down  10 1/4  at  542 1/4 
  May down 10 1/4  at  555 1/4 
  Jul down  9 1/2  at  567 3/4 
  Sep down  8 1/4  at  592 3/4 
  Dec down  8 1/4  at  613 1/4 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for January at Memphis  479 to 488;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 353-433;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for January at Memphis   358 1/4 to 364 1/4;
  new crop at Memphis   349 to - - -;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  313 to 353

Chicago Futures: Mar down  3 1/2  at  358 1/4 
  May down  at  368 3/4 
  Sep down  4 1/4  at  389 
  Dec down  4 1/2  at  401 3/4 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat declined closing below support at the bottom of the recent sideways trading range. Poor export movement continues to push the market lower as the U.S. remains uncompetitive in world markets. Drought conditions in the Southern Plains is a supporting factor.



Cotton & Rice  Date: February 04, 2009


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis up 29 at  4517
  Greenwood up  29 at 4517

New York Futures: Mar up  29  at  4967 
  May up  26  at  5058 
 Jul up  40  at  5180 
 Dec up  44  at  5581 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  11.98 cents
  The estimate for next week is  11.98 cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton firmed slightly as the market remains in a very tight sideways trading range. Economic conditions have reduced cotton use, particularly in China, and that has continued to weigh on the U.S. exports. The first survey of ’09 U.S. plantings will be released by the National Cotton Council next week. Current estimates range from unchanged to 2 million acres below 68. Long term this will lead to higher cotton price later this year.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  n/a - - -  to  - - -
  n/a - - -  to  - - -

Chicago Futures: Mar '09 up  2 1/2  at  1201 
 May '09 down  at  1220 
 Jul '09 down  1 1/2  at  1233 1/2 
 Sep '09 unchanged    at  1185 1/2 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice was slightly higher as the market is attempting to consolidate just above $11.80. Long term charts have another downside objective at $11.46. Demand for U.S. milled rice remains very poor, and some mills are beginning to offer discounts in order to move rice. There are few takers at this point. Price levels in Vietnam have firmed following big sales to Iraq, Cuba and the Philippines. While budgets seemed to favor rice over beans, corn and cotton - that may change.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: February 04, 2009

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 829 head at sales in Conway & Pocahontas.  Compared with last week, feeder steers sold steady to $2 higher, advance on yearlings .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 103 to - - -
  500 to 550 lbs. 95.50 to - - -
  600 to 650 lbs. 91 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 93 to - - -

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 88 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 79 to - - -

Slaughter Cows, Boners 43   to   48
Light Weight 28 to 34
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   56.50   to   60.50
Midwest Steers   were quoted   at   80   to   - - -
Panhandle Steers   remained   at   80   to   - - -

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers 500 to 550 lbs. 105 to 113
  600 to 650 lbs. 96 to 104.50
Heifers 500 to 550 lbs. 90 to 97.50
  600 to 650 lbs. 88 to 93.50

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Apr down 17 at 8595
  Jun down 7 at 8367
Feeders: Mar steady at 9342
  May down 2 at 9642

Cattle Comment
Cattle were mixed with a stronger $ weighing on potential exports. Feed lot offerings and packer bids are generally several $’s apart with activity limited. No changes are expected until late tomorrow or Friday. Big declines in beef cutout values are weighing on the market.

Hogs
Peoria: were     higher   at   35.5   to   36

Chicago Futures: Apr down 127 at 6087
  Jun down 90 at 7335

Sheep
St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs   at   n/a   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hogs were sharply lower, pressured by a stronger $, weak cash bids and negative packer margins.



Poultry  Date: February 04, 2009

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 113-117; Lg. 111-115; Med. 99-103;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 114-122; Lg. 112-120; Med. 91-99;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 72-75
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 72-75
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Trade sentiment was steady to about steady. Supplies of all sizes were at least sufficient for current trade needs. In production areas, live supplies were moderate at mixed, but mostly desirable.

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