Tuesday, December 9, 2008

12/09/2008 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: December 09, 2008

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Dec) EAST AR:  779 to 809
(NC) Summ. 792 to - - -
River Elevators:
(Dec) MISS: 788 to 817 ; AR & White 788 to 794
(NC) Summ. 794 to 823
Ark. Processor Bids: (Dec) 786 to 809  (NC) 793 to 803
Memphis:  (Dec) 823 to 828 (NC)  - - - to - - -
Riceland Foods:  (Dec) Stuttgart 809 ; Pendleton 809 ; West Memphis 813

Chicago Futures: Jan 09 down 7 1/2 at  813
  Mar 09  down  7 1/4  at  818 1/4
  May 09 down 7 1/4  at  827 3/4
  July 09 down 7 3/4  at  837 3/4
  Nov 09 down 10  at  834
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans traded a fairly narrow range before ending the session slightly lower. A strong dollar and profit taking accounted for the slight downturn. January futures left yesterday’s one day island reversal intact, but needs upside followthrough and a close 8.40 to confirm a potential low.

Wheat
Cash bid for December at Memphis  379 1/2 to - - -;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 385-395;
River Elevators 395-430;

Chicago Futures: Dec down  3/4  at  472 1/4 
  Mar 09 down at  489 1/2 
  May 09 down  at  502 3/4 
  July 09 down  1 1/2  at  515 1/4 
  Sept 09 down  1 1/2  at  538 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for December at Memphis  407 to 425;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 300-380;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for December at Memphis   297 3/4 to - - -;
  New crop at Memphis   308 3/4 to - - -;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  253 to 293

Chicago Futures: Dec down  at  312 1/4 
  Mar 09 down  2 1/4  at  327 3/4 
  May 09 down  at  338 1/2 
  Dec 09 down  1 1/2  at  372 1/4 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Corn lost a few cents in today’s trade, but the market was relatively quiet headed into Thursday’s report. Depending on what happens, this market could slip toward the next support around $2.65 or it could head toward resistance at $3.75 to $3.80. Wheat closed barely lower, but still below $5. The export market remains competitive and U.S. wheat has garnered little interest. This could lead to a continued downtrend with the next weekly chart support at $4.10.



Cotton & Rice  Date: December 09, 2008


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis down 139 at  3920
  Greenwood down  139 at 3920

New York Futures: Mar 09 down  139  at  4295 
  May 09 down  140  at  4278 
 July 09 down  144  at  4345 
 Dec 09 down  129  at  4749 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  13.70 cents
  The estimate for next week is  16.46 cents
Cotton Comment
Last month’s potential double bottom formation on the March chart remained intact. Cotton could not sustain yesterday’s upturn but potential improvement in the economy would help boost the outlook for cotton. The market may also be anticipating adjustments on Thursday in this year’s cotton production number. Late season weather reduced yields in the southern delta and that should be reflected in this week’s report. This week’s projected LDP is up after last week’s upturn in price. The long term outlook suggests cotton is probably bottoming.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  - - - - - -  to  - - -
  - - - - - -  to  - - -

Chicago Futures: Jan 09 down  15  at  1434 
 Mar 09 down  12  at  1416 
 May 09 down  10  at  1436 
 July 09 down  10 1/2  at  1456 1/2 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice lost ground as the market fell after four straight days of rain. The international market remains somewhat soft with few major sales made recently. Iraq picked rice in Vietnam and Pakistan for their recent tender. Both are substantially cheaper than offerings by Thailand. U.S. milled rice sales remain slow, while rough rice continues to move to Mexico, Central and South America. No change in rice production numbers in this week’s report - that comes in January. General thinking is it will be a substantial change.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: December 09, 2008

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 1624 head at sales in Fort Smith and Marshall.  Compared with last week, feeder steers sold $3 to $5 lower, heifers $1 to $3 lower .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 93.50 to - - -
  500 to 550 lbs. 87 to - - -
  600 to 650 lbs. 85.75 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 89 to - - -

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   500 to 550 lbs. 80.50 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 76.75 to - - -

Slaughter Cows, Boners 35.50   to   42
Light Weight 22 to 27
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   48   to   55.50
Midwest Steers   - - -   at   - - -   to   - -
Panhandle Steers   - - -   at   - - -   to   - - -

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers - - - to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
  - - - to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
Heifers - - - to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
  - - - to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Dec down 50 at 8260
  Feb down 40 at 8227
Feeders: Jan down 135 at 8655
  May down 65 at 8827

Cattle Comment
December live cattle were weaker today but the market did hold above yesterday’s one day island reversal low. This could signal a major low, if we see followthrough gains over the next several days. Larger cattle offerings and a weaker stock market weighed on today’s trade.

Hogs
Peoria: were 50¢ to $2     higher   at   36.5   to   37

Chicago Futures: Dec up 30 at 5727
  Feb steady 0 at 6412

Sheep
St. Paul n/a   at   - - -   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hog futures closed mixed but had an overall weaker undertone. Lower composite cutout values and expectations of seasonal price pressure contributed to the negative feeling.



Poultry  Date: December 09, 2008

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 122-126; Lg. 120-124; Med. 89-93;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 111-119; Lg. 109-117; Med. 81-89;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 77-80
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 77-79
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Trade sentiment was steady. Demand was mostly fair with trading limited to regular commitments. Supplies of all sizes were usually sufficient to satisfy trade needs. In production areas, live supplies were moderate at mostly desirable weights.

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