Thursday, June 19, 2008

06/18/2008 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: June 18, 2008

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Jun) EAST AR:  1479 to 1503
(NC) Summ. 1435 to 1467
River Elevators:
(Jun) MISS: 1466 to 1528 ; AR & White 1491 to 1505
(NC) Summ. 1441 to 1475
Ark. Processor Bids: (Jun) 1494 to - - -  (NC) 1445 to 1465
Memphis:  (Jun) 1532 to 1534 (NC)  1458 to 1463
Riceland Foods:  (Jun) Stuttgart 1494 ; Pendleton 1503 ; West Memphis 1523

Chicago Futures: Jul down 2 at  1556
  Aug  down  1 3/4  at  1561
  Sep down 6 1/2  at  1545 1/2
  Nov down 10  at  1543
  Nov '09 up at  1470
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans were a little lower despite flooding conditions in the midwest. There will be a major impact on this year's production of both beans and corn. Several million acres will be lost, further tightening stocks as we move forward. Upside could be limited, but not if we have further weather problems.

Wheat
Cash bid for new crop at Memphis  n/a to - - -;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 661-678;
River Elevators 657-694;

Chicago Futures: Jul up  5 3/4  at  904 
  Sep up 5 3/4  at  922 
  Dec up  at  945 1/2 
  Mar '09 up  at  967 
  Jul '09 up  3 1/2  at  974 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for June at Memphis  1172 to 1190;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 1111-1171;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for June at Memphis   711 1/4 to - - -;
  new crop at Memphis   695 1/4 to 700 1/4;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  681 to 704

Chicago Futures: Jul up  at  746 1/4 
  Sep up  3 3/4  at  760 1/4 
  Dec up  at  780 
  Dec '09 up  4 1/2  at  685 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat seems content to follow corn. Wet weather in Kansas is causing harvest delays and possibly damaging the crop as well. Increasing interest in feeding wheat is also a supportive factor.



Cotton & Rice  Date: June 18, 2008


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis up 110 at  7017
  Greenwood up  110 at 7017

New York Futures: Jul up  108  at  7389 
  Dec up  106  at  8201 
 Mar '09 up  83  at  8707 
 May '09 up  96  at  8870 
 Jul '09 up  90  at  8989 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  0 cents
  The estimate for next week is  0 cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton rebounded after being lower yesterday. While fundamentals don't really support further gains now it is fairly obvious that cotton will have to go higher to compete for acreage next year. It may take a dollar plus cotton to move acres.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  Jul 1955/cwt  to  - - -
  - - - - - -  to  - - -

Chicago Futures: Jul unchanged    at  2030 
 Sep down  11  at  1969 
 Jan '09 down  10  at  2005 
 Mar '09 down  at  2038 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice was a little lower as we look ahead to a new milling season. While mills are finishing up prior commitments most new inquiries are for new crop. Price levels are lower and more attractive on new crop at least for now. International markets are generally slow but a sale to Iraq by Vietnam was confirmed at just under $800 and that was a surprise to everyone. That isn't expected to be the norm.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: June 18, 2008

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 940 head at sales in Conway.  Compared with last week, feeder steers sold steady to $2 lower, heifers $1-3 lower .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 109.02 to - - -
  500 to 550 lbs. 101.57 to - - -
  600 to 650 lbs. 96.97 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 93.79 to - - -

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 94.04 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 93.79 to - - -

Slaughter Cows, Boners 50   to   56
Light Weight 36 to 41
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   62.50   to   65.50, high dressing untested
Midwest Steers   remained   at   92   to   - - -
Panhandle Steers   remained   at   92   to   - - -

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
  n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
Heifers n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
  n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Aug up 30 at 10390
  Dec up 72 at 11367
Feeders: Aug up 17 at 11050
  Oct up 77 at 11395

Cattle Comment
Cattle futures are becoming overbought and a downward correction could be coming. Friday's cattle on feed report is expected to show a decrease in placements, but it could already be built into current price levels.

Hogs
Peoria: were $1     higher   at   44.5   to   45

Chicago Futures: Aug down 7 at 7607
  Oct up 20 at 7517

Sheep
St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs   at   n/a   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hog futures could see pressure from seasonal weakness in pork demand. Average weights increased this week which adds to supply side concerns.



Poultry  Date: June 18, 2008

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 129-133; Lg. 127-131; Med. 101-105;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 117-125; Lg. 115-123; Med. 94-102;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 91-92
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 91-92
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Trade sentiment was steady. Demand was fair to moderate with some improvement noted. Supplies of all sizes were sufficient to satisfy trade needs. In production areas, live supplies were mostly moderate, but mostly lighter weights.

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