Thursday, June 19, 2008

06/13/08 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: June 13, 2008

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Jun) EAST AR:  1483 to 1507
(NC) Summ. 1423 to 1455
River Elevators:
(Jun) MISS: 1470 to 1535 ; AR & White 1495 to 1512
(NC) Summ. 1415 to 1463
Ark. Processor Bids: (Jun) 1498 to - - -  (NC) 1436 to 1453
Memphis:  (Jun) 1536 to 1540 (NC)  1446 to 1451
Riceland Foods:  (Jun) Stuttgart 1498 ; Pendleton 1507 ; West Memphis 1527

Chicago Futures: Jul up 23 1/2 at  1560
  Aug  up  21 3/4  at  1559 3/4
  Sep up 16 1/2  at  1540
  Nov up 18 1/2  at  1531
  Nov '09 up 10 1/2  at  1483
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
New crop soybeans and corn moved to new contract highs, while closing the week with strong gains. Forecasts of rain and flooding across parts of the Midwest added fresh support to the markets going into the weekend. Reports indicate many acres of both beans and corn have been lost from this year’s crop. Already stressed, this puts potentially smaller yields and production under the gun. November beans moved well above $15, while December corn is just 31 cents away from $8. If Wednesday’s gap is a measuring gap, it projects December corn to $8.20 or higher.

Wheat
Cash bid for new crop at Memphis  n/a to - - -;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 648-656;
River Elevators 639-672;

Chicago Futures: Jul up  31  at  882 
  Sep up 31 1/2  at  899 1/2 
  Dec up  30 1/2  at  922 
  Mar '09 up  29 1/2  at  942 
  Jul '09 up  23  at  955 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for June at Memphis  1182 to - - -;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 1102-1163;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for June at Memphis   695 3/4 to 701 3/4;
  new crop at Memphis   680 3/4 to 690 3/4;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  667 to 695

Chicago Futures: Jul up  22 3/4  at  731 3/4 
  Sep up  23  at  745 3/4 
  Dec up  25 1/2  at  765 
  Dec '09 up  11 1/2  at  693 1/2 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat futures followed the rally in corn and soybeans today. Global supplies are being replenished, however, so expect the upside to be limited.



Cotton & Rice  Date: June 13, 2008


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis up 199 at  6563
  Greenwood up  199 at 6563

New York Futures: Jul up  226  at  7190 
  Dec up  267  at  7962 
 Mar '09 up  247  at  8525 
 May '09 up  251  at  8660 
 Jul '09 up  129  at  8649 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  0 cents
  The estimate for next week is  0 cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton closed out the week with another strong gain. For the second time in 3 days, the market was up nearly the limit. December broke trendline resistance and moved within 150 points of the next major chart resistance. While this year’s acreage will be down sharply there hardly seems to be much justification fundamentally for a big move in cotton, particularly at this point in time. USDA adjusted U.S. exports for 07/08 which resulted in projected ending stocks rising above 10 million bales. World stocks are above 60 million bales and are above 50% of a year’s use.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  Jul 2030/cwt  to  - - -
  - - - - - -  to  - - -

Chicago Futures: Jul up  50  at  2030 
 Sep up  35  at  1904 
 Jan '09 up  29  at  1939 
 Mar '09 up  24  at  1969 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice was higher today with most contracts moving to the top of consolidation areas. September futures broke trendline resistance and closed above $19. This week’s supply demand report was not changed much from May, but it was a reminder that while world stocks will rise slightly, it is still a very tenuous situation that could still erupt later in the summer.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: June 13, 2008

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 9,795 head at sales in Arkansas this week.  Compared with last week, feeder steers sold $2-4 lower, instances $5-7 lower .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 112.94 to - - -
  500 to 550 lbs. 108.29 to - - -
  600 to 650 lbs. 104.75 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 102.38 to - - -

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 101.37 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 96.81 to - - -

Slaughter Cows, Boners 48   to   54
Light Weight 38 to 43
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   61.50   to   69.50, high dressing 70-74.50
Midwest Steers   n/a   at   - - -   to   - - -
Panhandle Steers   n/a   at   - - -   to   - - -

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers 500 to 550 lbs. 108.50 to 124.50
  600 to 650 lbs. 105 to 120.75
Heifers 500 to 550 lbs. 101.50 to 116
  600 to 650 lbs. 97 to 111.50

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Aug up 67 at 10227
  Dec up 105 at 11147
Feeders: Aug up 10 at 10915
  Oct up 30 at 11190

Cattle Comment
August live cattle moved to a new high today. Carryover strength from other markets was supportive. Feeders got a boost from indications the market was oversold. The market is carrying a big premium to cash, so that could limit the upside.

Hogs
Peoria: were     steady   at   43.5   to   44

Chicago Futures: Aug up 105 at 7515
  Oct up 105 at 7385

Sheep
St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs   at   n/a   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hogs also posted strong gains. Pork values are improving and that is supportive, but mostly the upturn was due to fund buying. August has support at $74.



Poultry  Date: June 13, 2008

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 128-132; Lg. 126-130; Med. 101-105;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 107-115; Lg. 105-113; Med. 92-100;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 90-92
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 90-92
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Trade sentiment was steady. Supplies of all sizes were sufficient to satisfy trade needs. In production areas, live supplies were moderate. Weights were mixed, but mostly desirable.

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