Wednesday, June 4, 2008

06/04/2008 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: June 04, 2008

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Jun) EAST AR:  1312 to 1336
(NC) Summ. 1272 to 1304
River Elevators:
(Jun) MISS: 1289 to 1359 ; AR & White 1324 to 1336
(NC) Summ. 1278 to 1312
Ark. Processor Bids: (Jun) 1319 to 1327  (NC) 1300 to 1302
Memphis:  (Jun) 1363 to 1369 (NC)  1308 3/4 to 1309 3/4
Riceland Foods:  (Jun) Stuttgart 1327 ; Pendleton 1336 ; West Memphis 1356

Chicago Futures: Jul up 29 1/2 at  1389
  Aug  up  29 1/2  at  1394 1/2
  Sep up 27 3/4  at  1383 3/4
  Nov up 26  at  1379 3/4
  Nov '09 up 15 3/4  at  1364 1/2
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
November soybean futures broke out of a tight trading range to close at the highest level since mid-March. This technical breakout could lead to a retest of resistance at the early March high of $14.66. This was an exceptionally strong showing considering crude oil declined and the dollar strengthened. Late planting and tightening stocks contributed to the upturn. Corn made solid gains with December just 12 cents below the contract high.

Wheat
Cash bid for new crop at Memphis  n/a to - - -;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 515-542;
River Elevators 510-563;

Chicago Futures: Jul up  2 1/2  at  753 
  Sep up 2 1/2  at  769 1/2 
  Dec up  2 3/4  at  792 1/2 
  Mar '09 up  at  818 
  Jul '09 down  1/4  at  840 1/4 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for June at Memphis  990 to 997;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 909-970;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for June at Memphis   579 1/2 to 586 1/2;
  new crop at Memphis   572 3/4 to - - -;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  550 to 576

Chicago Futures: Jul up  6 1/2  at  614 1/2 
  Sep up  6 1/2  at  627 3/4 
  Dec up  6 3/4  at  643 
  Dec '09 up  7 1/2  at  615 1/2 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat was a bit higher, recovering a little from yesterday’s selloff. Beneficial rains in Australia were apparently figured in yesterday. Harvest is getting underway now and will limit the upside. Support for July begins at the recent low of $7.31.



Cotton & Rice  Date: June 04, 2008


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis up 9 at  5757
  Greenwood up  9 at 5757

New York Futures: Jul down  at  6415 
  Dec down  20  at  7263 
 Mar '09 down  37  at  7820 
 May '09 down  13  at  8014 
 Jul '09 down  31  at  8150 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  0 cents
  The estimate for next week is  0 cents
Cotton Comment
For the second day in a row, cotton futures trimmed big losses late in the session but remains under technical pressure as Monday’s decline opened the market to further technical selling and possible test of chart support near 71 cents. Big U.S. and world supplies and limited demand will keep the market under pressure. Prospects of a 10 million bale carryover in the U.S. points to potentially lower price levels, unless major problems are seen with this year’s crop.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  Jun 1861/cwt  to  - - -
  Jul 1861/cwt  to  - - -

Chicago Futures: Jul down  50  at  1861 
 Sep down  50  at  1808 
 Jan '09 down  50  at  1843 
 Mar '09 down  50  at  1878 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice futures dropped the limit as the market adjusts to a much more subdued situation. On the international side reports suggest several factors are contributing to a less stressful supply situation. Japan is expected to release some stocks, Vietnam has indicated they will lift their export ban on July 1 and India is going to allow exports to some West African countries. This has allowed price levels to move a little lower. They now appear to be stabilizing in the $800 to $900 range. U.S. offers have softened slightly but downside would appear to be limited long term. Technically, November futures should have support between $17.50 and $18.00, if not there, just under $16.50.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: June 04, 2008

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 1,098 head at sales in Conway & Pocahontas.  Compared with last week, feeder steers sold steady to $2 lower .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 118.09 to - - -
  500 to 550 lbs. 112.87 to - - -
  600 to 650 lbs. 107.34 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 101.55 to - - -

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 105.44 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 93.75 to - - -

Slaughter Cows, Boners 53   to   59
Light Weight 38 to 42.50
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   65   to   70, high dressing $71-74
Midwest Steers   were $1-1.50 lower   at   93   to   - - -
Panhandle Steers   were $.50 lower   at   94   to   - - -

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers 500 to 550 lbs. 124.50 to 130
  550 to 600 lbs. 116 to 121
Heifers 500 to 550 lbs. 111 to 114.50
  600 to 650 lbs. 107.75 to 113.50

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Aug up 25 at 10050
  Dec down 7 at 10797
Feeders: Aug down 5 at 11372
  Oct down 35 at 11565

Cattle Comment
Live cattle were mixed. The situation in South Korea is still affecting futures. Improving beef values limited losses. Packer cutbacks are expected to limit the week’s slaughter partially offsetting a brief lull in seasonal demand. Longer term the market appears to have good upside potential.

Hogs
Peoria: were $1     lower   at   46.5   to   47

Chicago Futures: Aug down 47 at 7687
  Oct up 2 at 7335

Sheep
St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs   at   n/a   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hogs ended lower again today. Weak pork values and lower cash prices pressured futures. Today’s spike down to $76.05 will be the first level of support for August.



Poultry  Date: June 04, 2008

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 114-118; Lg. 112-116; Med. 99-103;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 90-99; Lg. 89-98; Med. 81-90;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 90-92
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 90-92
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Trade sentiment was steady. Demand into all channels was light to moderate, best for retail and fast food. Supplies of all sizes were at least sufficient to handle trade needs. In production areas live supplies were moderate at mixed, but mostly lighter weights.

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