Thursday, June 4, 2009

06/04/2009 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: June 04, 2009

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Jun) EAST AR:  1207 to 1222
(NC) Summ. 1032 to 1046
River Elevators:
(Jun) MISS: 1235 to 1245 ; AR & White 1210 to 1225
(NC) Summ. 1032 to 1066
Ark. Processor Bids: (Jun) 1222 to 1223  (NC) 1042 to 1044
Memphis:  (Jun) 1233 to 1247 (NC)  1066 1/2 to 1069 1/2
Riceland Foods:  (Jun) Stuttgart 1222 ; Pendleton 1242 ; West Memphis 1220

Chicago Futures: Jul down 27 at  1182
  Sep  down  36  at  1079
  Nov down 35 1/2  at  1047
  Jan '10 down 35 1/2  at  1052
  Mar '10 down 34  at  1047
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans recouped most of yesterday’s declines with November nullifying the potential island top. While the market didn’t make new tops it seemed to suggest yesterday’s move was simply profit taking and there is still some upside potential. Beans ignored an export sales report that featured a negative number, the result of several cancellations by China and Japan. The key to further gains will be November’s ability to move a nickel higher and close above Tuesday’s high of $10.86.

Corn, unlike soybeans, had a good export report and retraced most of yesterday’s losses. It is very clear the market is closely tied to outside markets. A stronger equities market and higher crude oil bring the funds back into the picture. A weaker dollar added to the positive undertone.

Wheat
Cash bid for June at Memphis  547 1/4 to 565 1/4;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 532-536;
River Elevators 519-550;

Chicago Futures: Jul down  52  at  617 1/2 
  Sep down 51 1/2  at  645 
  Dec down  50 1/2  at  669 
  Mar '10 down  49 1/4  at  685 1/4 
  May '10 down  49 3/4  at  696 1/2 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for June at Memphis  656 to - - -;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 594-675;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for June at Memphis   434 1/2 to 439 1/2;
  new crop at Memphis   426 1/4 to 428 1/4;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  412 to 437

Chicago Futures: Jul down  17  at  432 1/2 
  Sep down  17 1/4  at  442 1/2 
  Dec down  17 3/4  at  455 
  Mar '10 down  17 1/4  at  465 3/4 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat also reversed and closed higher. Harvest delays in Texas and slow spring planting progress continue to offset big world supplies. Longer term, the market will have to be competitive, but for the time being, other factors are providing upward momentum. July may have a problem overcoming resistance just above $6.70.



Cotton & Rice  Date: June 04, 2009


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis up 129 at  5363
  Greenwood up  129 at 5363

New York Futures: Jul up  104  at  5688 
  Oct up  114  at  5915 
 Dec up  116  at  6109 
 Mar '10 up  126  at  6319 
 n/a up  - - -  at  - - - 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  7.59 cents
  The estimate for next week is  7.07 cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton regained a portion of yesterday’s declines as the market continued to follow the crowd. Economic conditions remain a major consideration in textile sales. Ample U.S. and world stocks continue to offset a potentially smaller ’09 crop. December support starts at 58 cents with resistance at 63.75 cents.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  n/a - - -  to  - - -
  n/a - - -  to  - - -

Chicago Futures: Jul unchanged    at  1247 1/2 
 Sep down  5 1/2  at  1265 1/2 
 Nov down  4 1/2  at  1273 1/2 
 Jan '10 unchanged    at  1290 
 n/a   - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice continued to show some strength with September in position to test resistance at Tuesday’s high. The market continues to look at a potentially smaller ’09 U.S. crop following weather impact on much of the mid-South crop. It is generally felt that not all the projected acreage was planted and some will have to be replanted in soybeans. On the other hand export demand remains slow with ample supplies available from Thailand and perhaps a little later from Vietnam. September’s ability to close above $12.57 suggests the market may still work higher.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: June 04, 2009

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 3,646 head at sales in Charlotte, Ratcliff & Green Forest.  Compared with last week, feeder steers sold mostly $3-5 lower .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 116 to - - -
  500 to 550 lbs. 105 to - - -
  600 to 650 lbs. 100 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 104 to - - -

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 94.50 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 88 to - - -

Slaughter Cows, Boners 42   to   47
Light Weight 28.50 to 36
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   54.50   to   61, high dressing 61-63
Midwest Steers   remained   at   82   to   - - -
Panhandle Steers   remained   at   82   to   - - -

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers 500 to 540 lbs. 109 to 112.50
  600 to 650 lbs. 95 to 99
Heifers n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -
  n/a to - - - lbs. - - - to - - -

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Aug up 12 at 8077
  Oct up 10 at 8585
Feeders: Aug down 105 at 9612
  Sep down 92 at 9640

Cattle Comment
Cattle futures were up slightly after big declines recently. Big losses have trimmed packer margins leaving them reluctant buyers, however the overall slaughter pace has been maintained. Live cattle prices continue to look technically oversold, and should see some strengthening in coming days. Live cattle have strong support at the contract low set last June at around 78-cents.

Hogs
Peoria: were     steady   at   33   to   - - -

Chicago Futures: Aug down 27 at 6277
  Oct up 95 at 6010

Sheep
St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs   at   n/a   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hogs closed mixed as they continue to look for a bottom as prices set a new contract low again today. Larger than expected carcass weights have marketings backed up and until these supplies are cleared out pork prices will continue to search for support. One supporting factor for hog prices are they are very oversold, making many traders reluctant to sell more contracts.



Poultry  Date: June 04, 2009

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 98-102; Lg. 96-100; Med. 65-69;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 89-97; Lg. 87-95; Med. 56-64;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 80-82
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 80-82
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Trade sentiment was steady. Demand into all channels was mostly moderate at best with light trading for late week. Supplies of all sizes were sufficient to satisfy trade needs. In production areas, live supplies were moderate at desirable to slightly lighter weights.

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