Wednesday, August 8, 2007

08/08/2007 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: August 08, 2007

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Aug) EAST AR:  796 to 815
(NC) Summ. 798 to 827
River Elevators:
(Aug) MISS: 803 to 821 ; AR & White 788 to 807
(NC) Summ. 805 to 833
Ark. Processor Bids: (Aug) 809 to 815  (NC) 823 to 827
Memphis:  (Aug) 815 to 818 (NC)  827 to 830
Riceland Foods:  (NC) Stuttgart 827 ; Pendleton 827 ; West Memphis 833

Chicago Futures: Sep up 15 at  862
  Nov  up  15 1/4  at  878
  Jan up 15 1/2  at  892 1/4
  Mar up 13 3/4  at  901 1/2
  Nov '08 up 11 1/4  at  898 1/4
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans made strong gains again today with November gapping above resistance at $8.67 and closing near the day’s high. Prospects of crop problems in China and reports they will import more than 10% more beans next year added to the positive undertone. The next resistance for November is $8.93.

Wheat
Cash bid for August at Memphis  614 to 617;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 484;
River Elevators 464-499;

Chicago Futures: Sep up  16 1/2  at  679 
  Dec up 18 1/2  at  701 
  Mar up  12 1/2  at  692 
  Jul '08 up  4 3/4  at  563 3/4 
  Jul '09 up  at  563 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for August at Memphis  639 to 661;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 545-639;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for August at Memphis   303 to 305;
  new crop at Memphis   n/a to - - -;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  285 to 296

Chicago Futures: Sep up  5 3/4  at  341 
  Dec up  at  358 
  Mar up  at  373 1/2 
  Dec '08 up  5 1/4  at  404 1/2 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat made new contract highs for the third day in a row and now appears to be zeroing in on the all time high of $7.50. Export demand is exceptional as the world experiences the tightest stocks situation ever. Support now starts at $6.50.



Cotton & Rice  Date: August 08, 2007


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis up 55 at  5640
  Greenwood up  55 at 5640

New York Futures: Oct up  55  at  6115 
  Dec up  53  at  6351 
 Mar up  26  at  6640 
 May up  35  at  6745 
 Dec '08 up  81  at  7070 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  0 cents
  The estimate for next week is  0 cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton recouped a portion of yesterday’s declines keeping the market in a 2.5 cents trading range. The late July low of 61.85 cents now becomes the next level of support. Early production estimates range from 17.3 to 18.5 million bales with Informa at the low end of the range. However, that was an increase of 200,000 bales from their July estimate. The trade will be watching the U.S. production number, as well as that of China. Their current projection is 32.5 million bales. Heavy rain in one production area may shave some off that number. Chinese import needs are currently projected to be 16.5 million bales.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  Aug 1000/cwt  to  - - -
  Sep/Oct 1000  to  1004/cwt

Chicago Futures: Sep down  at  1052 
 Nov down  1 1/2  at  1085 
 Jan down  at  1116 
 Mar down  at  1145 1/2 
 n/a down  - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
November rice futures ended the day slightly lower after spending most of the session a little higher. Last week’s high of $11.05 remains resistance heading into Friday’s report. Domestic mills remain on reduced schedules as export sales are limited. Potential sales to Cuba and the Dominican Republic buoyed hopes some, as did the tender which Iraq recently floated. At this point none have materialized, but recent volatility in the market suggests something is possible.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: August 08, 2007

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 1,162 head at sales in Conway, Ola & Pocahontas.  Compared with last week, feeder steers sold steady to $6 lower, heifers $1-$5 lower .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 121 to 131
  500 to 550 lbs. 115 to 125
  600 to 700 lbs. 100 to 110
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 101 to 111

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 109.50 to 119
 Medium & Large Frame 2   400 to 450 lbs. 101 to 111

Slaughter Cows, Boners 45   to   53.50
Light Weight 37 to 42
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   63   to   68, high dressing not quoted
Midwest Steers   were quoted   at   91   to   - - -
Panhandle Steers   were quoted   at   90   to   - - -

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers 500 to 550 lbs. 127.50 to 131.50
  600 to 650 lbs. 120.50 to 129
Heifers 500 to 550 lbs. 118 to 122
  600 to 650 lbs. 113.50 to 118

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Oct down 30 at 9557
  Dec down 65 at 9807
Feeders: Oct down 5 at 11525
  Jan down 15 at 11265

Cattle Comment
Cattle futures lost more ground today as the market showed some followthrough on yesterday’s big declines. Upside potential has been limited by lackluster beef demand and renewed prices added to the negative undertone in feeder futures.

Hogs
Peoria: were $2     higher   at   50.5   to   51

Chicago Futures: Oct down 5 at 11525
  Dec up 42 at 7072

Sheep
St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs   at   n/a   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hog futures made a third straight decline as the market has dropped over five dollars this week. Continued reports of pork exports to China kept the market on the positive side for much of the session. October has support in the $69-$70 area.



Poultry  Date: August 08, 2007

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 104-108; Lg. 102-106; Med. 81-85;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 96-104; Lg. 94-102; Med. 74-82;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 86-89
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 86-89
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Trade sentiment was mostly steady to about steady. Supplies of light weights were more than sufficient, but heavier weights were in a better balance for trade needs. In production areas, live supplies were mostly moderate. Weights were desirable to instances light as high temperatures continued to affect bird sizes and mortality rates.

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