Friday, January 15, 2010

01/15/2010 Farm Bureau Market Report

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: January 15, 2010

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Jan) EAST AR:  939 to 953
(NC) Summ. 857 to 912
River Elevators:
(Jan) MISS: 953 to 997 ; AR & White 938 to 952
(NC) Summ. 890 to 922
Ark. Processor Bids: (Jan) 945 to 956  (NC) 882 to 900
Memphis:  (Jan) 986 to 996 (NC)  922 1/4 to - - -
Riceland Foods:  (Jan) Stuttgart 956 ; Pendleton 953 ; West Memphis 997

Chicago Futures: Mar down 10 at  974
  May  down  10 1/2  at  980 1/4
  July down 11 1/2  at  984 1/2
  Sept down 14 3/4  at  958 1/4
  Nov down 17 1/4  at  942 1/4
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybean futures were under renewed selling pressure. The long-only index funds are still readjusting positions after the surprising production report this week, and that pushed futures lower. March is still holding above Tuesday’s low of $9.70, so that is a good sign.

Wheat
Cash bid for January at Memphis  450 to 480;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators 475-482;
River Elevators 474-505;

Chicago Futures: Mar down  17 3/4  at  510 
  May down 17 1/4  at  523 1/2 
  July down  16 3/4  at  534 3/4 
  Sept down  16  at  549 3/4 
  Dec down  15 3/4  at  574 1/4 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for January at Memphis  663 to - - -;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators 521-596;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for January at Memphis   369 1/2 to 372 1/2;
  New crop at Memphis   329 to 384;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators  343 to 364

Chicago Futures: Mar down  9 1/2  at  371 1/2 
  May down  9 1/4  at  382 1/2 
  Sept down  9 1/4  at  399 
  Dec down  9 1/2  at  406 
  Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat futures gapped lower, and July could head for a retest of support around $5.30. The gap left Tuesday in reaction to the supply/demand report between $5.90 ¾ and $5.60 ¼ could prove to be tough resistance despite the smallest winter wheat seedings in nearly 100 years. Why? Because demand for wheat is terrible. USDA increased the carryover estimate to 976 million bushels despite a larger than expected cut in production.

Corn futures were lower again today. March was lower, but held above support at the chart gap between $3.67 and $3.62 left in October. Even though approximately a half a billion bushels of corn remain in the field, USDA raised their harvested acreage estimate 300,000 acres and their yield estimate to 165.2 bushels per acre—the net result being an increase of 230 million bushels in the production estimate. USDA did say that revisions to the estimates could come in March, despite the fact that this is the annual report.



Cotton & Rice  Date: January 15, 2010


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis down 83 at  6808
  Greenwood down  83 at 6808

New York Futures: Mar down  83  at  7208 
  May down  89  at  7319 
 July down  87  at  7424 
 Oct down  72  at  7359 
 Dec down  58  at  7373 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is  0 cents
  The estimate for next week is  0 cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton futures saw renewed weakness despite the USDA reporting the highest export sales total for the marketing year. 437,000 running bales of old and new crop cotton were sold to foreign customers this week. March has support at the recent low of 72.43 cents.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for  Jan/Feb 1267/cwt  to  - - -
  - - - - - -  to  - - -

Chicago Futures: Mar down  at  1397 1/2 
 May down  at  1425 1/2 
 July down  at  1450 
 Sept down  12  at  1370 
 - - -   - - -  at  - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice ended the week on a down note. USDA raised their production estimate 1 percent to 220 million cwt. Average yield, at 7,085 lbs. per acre, was up 47 lbs. from the previous estimate and 239 lbs. from 2008. Probably impacting the market more, though, was the quarterly stocks report. Rough rice stocks were up 13 percent from a year ago and milled rice stocks were up 8%. The majority of the increase is in medium grain, however, so losses in Chicago are probably overdone. March is hovering around previous support at $14.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: January 15, 2010

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 9,760 head at sales in Arkansas this week.  Compared with last week, feeder steers sold mostly $5 to $8 higher .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   400 to 450 lbs. 116 to - - -
  500 to 550 lbs. 104 to - - -
  600 to 650 lbs. 96 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   450 to 500 lbs. 106 to - -

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1   500 to 550 lbs. 90 to - - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2   450 to 500 lbs. 86 to - - -

Slaughter Cows, Boners 43   to   49
Light Weight 28 to 38
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   55   to   63
Midwest Steers   n/a   at   - - -   to   - -
Panhandle Steers   n/a   at   - - -   to   - - -

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers 500 to 550 lbs. 101 to 114.50
  550 to 600 lbs. 112.50 to 114
Heifers 500 to 550 lbs. 87 to 102
  550 to 600 lbs. 87 to 99.50

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle: Feb up 70 at 8735
  April down 2 at 9052
Feeders: Mar up 70 at 9865
  May down 10 at 9972

Cattle Comment
Cattle futures were mixed. Recent big gains in hog futures were supportive. Nearby February gapped above resistance at $86.80, with additional resistance seen just above $88.

Hogs
Peoria: were     steady   at   39   to   41

Chicago Futures: Feb up 92 at 6997
  April up 52 at 7327

Sheep
St. Paul n/a   at   - - -   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
February hogs set a new high for the move. Stronger than expected cash hog and pork prices were supportive.



Poultry  Date: January 15, 2010

Eggs

New York:  Ex. Lg. 127-131; Lg. 125-129; Med. 94-98;
Chicago:  Ex. Lg. 108-116; Lg. 106-114; Med. 71-79;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens: 8-16 lbs. 76
Toms: 16-24 lbs. 76
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
The market tone was steady to fully steady. Demand entering the weekend was mostly moderate. Supplies of all sizes were sufficient to satisfy current trade needs. In production areas live supplies were moderate at mostly desirable weights.

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