Tuesday, November 20, 2007

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Arkansas Farm Bureau
Arkansas Farm Bureau
Grain & Soybean Date: November 20, 2007

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Nov) EAST AR: 1045 to 1073
(NC) Summ. 1056 to - - -
River Elevators:
(Nov) MISS: 1042 to 1078 ; AR & White 1053 to 1066
(NC) Summ. 1067 to 1089
Ark. Processor Bids: (Nov) 1062 to 1063 (NC) 1086 to 1088
Memphis: (Nov) 1079 to 1082 (NC) 992 1/2 to - - -
Riceland Foods: (NC) Stuttgart n/a ; Pendleton n/a ; West Memphis n/a

Chicago Futures:Janup16 1/2at 1087
March up 16 1/4 at 1103 1/2
Mayup16 1/4 at 1109
Nov '08up11 at 1027 1/2
Nov '09up18 at 975
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans posted solid gains as crude oil and gold led commodity markets higher. Big soybean and soyoil sales contributed to the firm undertone, after overnight markets lost ground. January moved back to within a penny of last week’s contract highs and kept the market in a strong uptrend. Keep in mind that once the market tops, there could be a free fall. But at this point, there has been no indication of topping. Key support starts just above $10.40.

Wheat
Cash bid for new crop at Memphis 612 1/2 to 613 1/2;

Bids to farmers at Local Elevators593-608;
River Elevators597-613;

Chicago Futures:Decup 17 1/4 at 773 1/2
Marchup18 at 796
Mayup 18 at 783
July '08up 8 1/2 at 687 1/2
July '09up 5 at 681
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for November at Memphis 681 to 806;

Bids to farmers at River Elevators618-680;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn

Cash bid for November at Memphis 394 1/4 to 399 1/4;
New crop at Memphis 394 1/2 to - - -;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators 379 to 391

Chicago Futures:Decup 3 3/4 at 381 1/4
Marchup 3 3/4 at 398 1/4
Mayup 4 at 408 3/4
Dec '08up 3 1/2 at 424 1/2
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat charted double digit gains in response to renewed weakness in the dollar and disappointing crop ratings. USDA says now that only 45% of the winter wheat crop is in good to excellent condition. December was limited by downtrending resistance near $7.70 while new crop July stopped about a dime short of the contract high of $6.97.



Cotton & Rice Date: November 20, 2007


Cotton

Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis down 10 at 5952
Greenwood down 10 at 5952

New York Futures:Decup 3 at 6006
Marchdown 10 at 6552
Maydown 8 at 6719
Julydown 19 at 6860
Dec '08down 4 at 7278
This week's LDP rate for cotton is 0 cents
The estimate for next week is 0 cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton ended the session mixed after trading in a narrow trading range. Inability to hold here would likely see trend line support near 64 cents come into play. Reduced export potential and this month’s larger production estimate are keeping pressure on the market. China’s needs appear to have declined from earlier estimates as evidenced by the USDA report week before last where their imports were lowered by 500,000 bales. While old crop is under pressure it is also pulling new crop contracts down and that may mean less acres than thought will be planted in 2008.

Rice

Long Grain Cash Bid for Nov1170/cwt to - - -
Dec1170/cwt to - - -

Chicago Futures:Jandown 8 at 1297
Marchdown 8 at 1328
Maydown 8 at 1355
Septdown 8 at 1295
- - - - - - at - - -
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 0
medium grain rice is 0
Rice Comment
January rice reversed yesterday’s gains and ended lower and slightly below $13. Fundamentals are unchanged but continue bullish in the near term. However, nothing remains “status quo” and producers should be prepared to take advantage of the market should there be toppings indications. The U.S. rough rice exports continue on a steady pace, well above year ago levels. Mills remain active in meeting earlier sales that should keep them busy into January. On the international level, export bans remain in place in India and Vietnam. Actually, India will export rice but the price has to exceed $425 per ton. Thailand continues to move old intervention stocks while awaiting this year’s harvest.



Cattle & Hogs Date: November 20, 2007

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 1623 head at sales in Fort Smith and Marshall. Compared with last week, feeder steers and heifers were mostly $1 to $5 lower .

Steers:
Medium & Large Frame 1 400to450 lbs.115to125
500to550 lbs.105to115
600to700 lbs.99to108.50
Medium & Large Frame 2 400to450 lbs.96to106

Heifers:
Medium & Large Frame 1 500to550 lbs.90to96
Medium & Large Frame 2 400to450 lbs.88to98

Slaughter Cows, Boners 41 to 45
Light Weight 27 to 32
Bulls, Yield Grade 1 1000 to 2100 lbs. 52 to 56; high dressing 58 to 58.50
Midwest Steers were $1 higher to $2.50 lower at 91 to - - -
Panhandle Steers were $2 higher to $2.50 lower at 91 to - - -

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steers500to550 lbs.119to121.50
550to600 lbs.111to119.50
Heifers500to550 lbs.104to142
550to600 lbs.101to109

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle:Febup87at9827
Juneup55at9425
Feeders:Janup75at10957
Marchup75at11030

Cattle Comment
Cattle futures ended higher on gains in the hog pit and improved beef prices. Gains were limited by Friday’s Cattle on Feed report. The total on-feed inventory was virtually unchanged, but a sharp increase in October placements suggests the supply of market ready cattle will be at least adequate in the coming months.

Hogs
Peoria: were steady at 27.5 to 28

Chicago Futures:Febup280at6300
Juneup20at7615

Sheep
St. Paul n/a at - - - to - - -

Hogs Comment
December hogs gapped higher and are working on a bullish reversal on the weekly chart. Technical buying after yesterday’s new low and position evening ahead of the holiday sparked the rally. Future’s premium to cash could limit the upside.



Poultry Date: November 20, 2007

Eggs

New York: Ex. Lg. 159-163; Lg. 157-161; Med. 141-145;
Chicago: Ex. Lg. 148-156; Lg. 146-154; Med. 132-140;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens:8-16 lbs.94-96
Toms:16-24 lbs.94-96

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Movement of ready-to-cook whole birds was seasonally light to fair and generally noted as sufficient in keeping the bulk of available offerings cleared satisfactorily. Live supplies were moderate; weights were trending heavier, but reported mostly desirable. Processing schedules ranged moderate to moderately heavy. Less than trucklot asking prices remained unchanged at 69 to 83 cents. Trade sentiment was mostly steady.


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